L’École des cotes

Ethan Quinn v Hubert Hurkacz

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-19 17:20 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ethan Quinn (Local)

Prévision 44.59%2.24cote équitable
EV +0.331%
Avantage +0.147%
Kelly +0.265%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.53%44.36%44.74%46.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.132.122.2550.00%47.01%47.17%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Hubert Hurkacz (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.41%1.80cote équitable
EV -3.59%
Avantage -2.06%
Kelly -4.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.76%55.64%55.26%57.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.701.701.7460.61%58.83%58.82%57.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +0.331%E +0.147%K +0.265%G +0.001%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-19 16:24
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +0.331%E +0.147%K +0.265%G +0.001%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-19 16:25
Marathon Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.561%E -0.252%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.58%E -5.20%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:44
FanDuel2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -1.01%E -0.454%K -0.825%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -6.91%E -4.12%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 14:29
DraftKings2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -1.45%E -0.657%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -8.58%E -5.20%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 16:22
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.90%E -0.863%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.59%E -2.06%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 16:04
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.90%E -0.863%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.47%E -4.47%K -11.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 14:30
SportsBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -2.34%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -6.91%E -4.12%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 14:30
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.68%E -1.70%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 16:39
Bally Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.68%E -1.70%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 16:39
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.68%E -1.70%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 16:39
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.68%E -1.70%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 16:39
GTbets2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.68%E -1.70%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 16:04
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 15:30
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 14:32
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 16:38
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:44
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:45
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:44
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:44
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.47%E -4.47%K -11.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 09:40
ReBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.57%E -2.14%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.70%E -2.73%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 15:29
Unibet (FR)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.57%E -2.14%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.70%E -2.73%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 15:39
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.59%E -2.06%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 16:40
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 16:00
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.91%E -4.12%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 16:45
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.91%E -4.12%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 16:44
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.91%E -4.12%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 16:39
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.91%E -4.12%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 16:44
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.91%E -4.12%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 16:44
Unibet (UK)2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.91%E -2.80%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.14%E -2.39%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 16:45
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.14%E -2.39%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 08:55
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.14%E -2.39%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:00
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.14%E -2.39%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:00
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.14%E -2.39%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:00
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.14%E -2.39%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:00
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.14%E -2.39%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:00
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 15:30
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 21:00
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 16:40
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 16:38
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 14:29
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 14:30
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 16:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 16:30
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.47%E -4.47%K -11.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 15:29
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.47%E -4.47%K -11.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 15:30
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.58%E -5.20%K -13.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 15:40
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -7.25%E -3.49%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%EV -8.02%E -4.83%K -12.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 16:44
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -7.70%E -3.72%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -6.91%E -4.12%K -10.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 16:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -7.70%E -3.72%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -8.58%E -5.20%K -13.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-19 16:44
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.59%E -2.06%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 16:00
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.59%E -2.06%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 16:30
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -4.70%E -2.73%K -6.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 15:39
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 16:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-03-19 16:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-03-19 16:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-03-19 16:40
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-03-19 16:39
ProphetX2.29I 43.67%NM 43.18%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.82%1.1%2026-03-19 16:40
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%2.4%2026-03-19 16:39
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%2.6%2026-03-19 16:24