The School of Odds

Carlos Alcaraz v Joao Fonseca

Matchstart: 2026-03-21 01:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

49 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Carlos Alcaraz (Hemma)

Prognos 83.85%1.19rättvist odds
EV -3.57%
Fördel -3.10%
Kelly -23.80%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.15

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
81.43%83.60%84.05%85.47%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.101.131.131.1590.91%88.38%88.50%86.96%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Joao Fonseca (Borta)

Prognos 16.15%6.19rättvist odds
EV +6.42%
Fördel +0.974%
Kelly +1.15%
Tillväxt +0.074%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.59

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
14.53%16.40%15.95%18.57%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
5.005.715.606.5920.00%17.52%17.86%15.17%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (49 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
LowVig.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV +6.42%E +0.974%K +1.15%G +0.074%4.5%2026-03-21 00:23
DraftKings1.13I 88.50%NM 84.83%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000%6.32I 15.82%NM 15.17%EV +2.06%E +0.325%K +0.387%G +0.008%4.3%2026-03-21 00:25
FanDuel1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV +1.73%E +0.275%K +0.327%G +0.006%4.4%2026-03-21 00:25
Pinnacle1.15I 86.96%NM 84.44%EV -3.57%E -3.10%K -23.80%G +0.000%6.24I 16.03%NM 15.56%EV +0.765%E +0.123%K +0.146%G +0.001%3.0%2026-03-21 00:15
1xBet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.49%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -2.30%E -0.381%K -0.456%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 00:15
Bet Right1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:22
Bovada1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:11
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:00
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 00:00
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 00:25
PlayUp1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 00:24
888sport1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 23:59
BetUS1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 23:59
Winamax (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 00:25
William Hill1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 00:00
Mr Green (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 23:59
888sport (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 23:59
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.92%E -6.24%K -62.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 00:25
BetOnline.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.49%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -3.76%E -0.630%K -0.757%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 00:00
Betsson1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -4.73%E -0.801%K -0.964%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 00:25
NordicBet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -4.73%E -0.801%K -0.964%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 00:25
Winamax (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.29%EV -7.76%E -7.06%K -77.63%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -4.73%E -0.801%K -0.964%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 00:25
Betr (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 00:15
PointsBet (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 00:23
Unibet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.57%E -3.10%K -23.80%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -9.57%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 00:00
Unibet (NL)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.57%E -3.10%K -23.80%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -9.57%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 00:00
Casumo1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.57%E -3.10%K -23.80%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -9.57%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 00:00
Unibet (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.57%E -3.10%K -23.80%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -9.57%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 00:00
ATG (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.57%E -3.10%K -23.80%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -9.57%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 00:00
Bally Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.57%E -3.10%K -23.80%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -9.57%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 00:00
Svenska Spel1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.57%E -3.10%K -23.80%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -9.57%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 00:00
betPARX1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.57%E -3.10%K -23.80%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -9.57%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 00:00
Fliff1.10I 90.91%NM 83.58%EV -7.76%E -7.06%K -77.63%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -9.57%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 00:25
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.57%E -3.10%K -23.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:59
TAB1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 00:00
Caesars1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 00:00
PMU (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.92%E -6.24%K -62.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 00:00
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -12.80%E -2.37%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 00:25
TABtouch1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -3.57%E -3.10%K -23.80%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -14.41%E -2.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 00:25
BetRivers1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -14.41%E -2.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 00:25
LiveScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -15.22%E -2.90%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 00:25
Virgin Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -15.22%E -2.90%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 00:25
Grosvenor1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -15.22%E -2.90%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 00:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -15.22%E -2.90%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 00:25
Coral1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -15.22%E -2.90%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 00:25
LeoVegas1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -16.03%E -3.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -17.64%E -3.46%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 00:24
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -19.26%E -3.85%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 00:25
Bet Victor1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -19.26%E -3.85%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 23:58
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-03-21 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-03-21 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-03-21 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-03-21 00:15
ProphetX1.15I 86.96%NM 85.89%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.11%1.2%2026-03-21 00:25
Smarkets1.14I 87.72%NM 85.27%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.73%2.9%2026-03-21 00:25
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 84.01%5.99I 16.69%NM 15.99%4.4%2026-03-21 00:25