مدرسة الاحتمالاتاللغة:العربية
Carlos Alcaraz v Joao Fonseca
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Carlos Alcaraz (المضيف)
التنبؤ 83.85%1.19السعر العادل
EV -3.57%
الأفضلية -3.10%
Kelly -23.80%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.15
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
81.43%83.60%84.05%85.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.101.131.131.1590.91%88.38%88.50%86.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Joao Fonseca (الضيف)
التنبؤ 16.15%6.19السعر العادل
EV +6.42%
الأفضلية +0.974%
Kelly +1.15%
النمو +0.074%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.59
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.53%16.40%15.95%18.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.005.715.606.5920.00%17.52%17.86%15.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000% | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV +6.42%E +0.974%K +1.15%G +0.074% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 00:23 |
| DraftKings | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.83%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000% | 6.32I 15.82%NM 15.17%EV +2.06%E +0.325%K +0.387%G +0.008% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV +1.73%E +0.275%K +0.327%G +0.006% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.44%EV -3.57%E -3.10%K -23.80%G +0.000% | 6.24I 16.03%NM 15.56%EV +0.765%E +0.123%K +0.146%G +0.001% | 3.0% | 2026-03-21 00:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.49%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -2.30%E -0.381%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 00:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:22 |
| Bovada | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:11 |
| SportsBet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| Betway | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| PlayUp | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 00:24 |
| 888sport | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 23:59 |
| BetUS | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 23:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| William Hill | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 23:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 23:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.92%E -6.24%K -62.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.49%G +0.000% | 5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -3.76%E -0.630%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| Betsson | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -4.73%E -0.801%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -4.73%E -0.801%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.29%EV -7.76%E -7.06%K -77.63%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -4.73%E -0.801%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 00:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 00:23 |
| Unibet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.57%E -3.10%K -23.80%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -9.57%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.57%E -3.10%K -23.80%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -9.57%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| Casumo | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.57%E -3.10%K -23.80%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -9.57%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.57%E -3.10%K -23.80%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -9.57%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.57%E -3.10%K -23.80%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -9.57%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.57%E -3.10%K -23.80%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -9.57%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.57%E -3.10%K -23.80%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -9.57%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| betPARX | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.57%E -3.10%K -23.80%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -9.57%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| Fliff | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.58%EV -7.76%E -7.06%K -77.63%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -9.57%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.57%E -3.10%K -23.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 23:59 |
| TAB | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| Caesars | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.92%E -6.24%K -62.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -12.80%E -2.37%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -3.57%E -3.10%K -23.80%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -14.41%E -2.72%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.49%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -14.41%E -2.72%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.49%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -15.22%E -2.90%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.49%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -15.22%E -2.90%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.49%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -15.22%E -2.90%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.49%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -15.22%E -2.90%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Coral | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.49%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -15.22%E -2.90%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -16.03%E -3.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -17.64%E -3.46%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 00:24 |
| BoyleSports | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -19.26%E -3.85%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -19.26%E -3.85%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-20 23:58 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (7)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 00:15 |
| ProphetX | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.89% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.11% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.27% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.73% | 2.9% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Novig | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.01% | 5.99I 16.69%NM 15.99% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |