Die Wettquotenschule

Carlos Alcaraz v Joao Fonseca

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-21 01:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

49 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Carlos Alcaraz (Heim)

Prognose 83.85%1.19faire Quote
EV -3.57%
Vorteil -3.10%
Kelly -23.80%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.15

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
81.43%83.60%84.05%85.47%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.101.131.131.1590.91%88.38%88.50%86.96%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Joao Fonseca (Auswärts)

Prognose 16.15%6.19faire Quote
EV +6.42%
Vorteil +0.974%
Kelly +1.15%
Wachstum +0.074%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.59

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
14.53%16.40%15.95%18.57%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
5.005.715.606.5920.00%17.52%17.86%15.17%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (49 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
LowVig.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV +6.42%E +0.974%K +1.15%G +0.074%4.5%2026-03-21 00:23
DraftKings1.13I 88.50%NM 84.83%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000%6.32I 15.82%NM 15.17%EV +2.06%E +0.325%K +0.387%G +0.008%4.3%2026-03-21 00:25
FanDuel1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV +1.73%E +0.275%K +0.327%G +0.006%4.4%2026-03-21 00:25
Pinnacle1.15I 86.96%NM 84.44%EV -3.57%E -3.10%K -23.80%G +0.000%6.24I 16.03%NM 15.56%EV +0.765%E +0.123%K +0.146%G +0.001%3.0%2026-03-21 00:15
1xBet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.49%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -2.30%E -0.381%K -0.456%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 00:15
Bet Right1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:22
Bovada1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:11
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:00
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 00:00
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 00:25
PlayUp1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 00:24
888sport1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 23:59
BetUS1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 23:59
Winamax (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 00:25
William Hill1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 00:00
Mr Green (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 23:59
888sport (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 23:59
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.92%E -6.24%K -62.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 00:25
BetOnline.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.49%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -3.76%E -0.630%K -0.757%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 00:00
Betsson1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -4.73%E -0.801%K -0.964%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 00:25
NordicBet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -4.73%E -0.801%K -0.964%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 00:25
Winamax (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.29%EV -7.76%E -7.06%K -77.63%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -4.73%E -0.801%K -0.964%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 00:25
Betr (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 00:15
PointsBet (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 00:23
Unibet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.57%E -3.10%K -23.80%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -9.57%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 00:00
Unibet (NL)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.57%E -3.10%K -23.80%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -9.57%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 00:00
Casumo1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.57%E -3.10%K -23.80%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -9.57%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 00:00
Unibet (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.57%E -3.10%K -23.80%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -9.57%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 00:00
ATG (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.57%E -3.10%K -23.80%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -9.57%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 00:00
Bally Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.57%E -3.10%K -23.80%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -9.57%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 00:00
Svenska Spel1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.57%E -3.10%K -23.80%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -9.57%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 00:00
betPARX1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.57%E -3.10%K -23.80%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -9.57%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 00:00
Fliff1.10I 90.91%NM 83.58%EV -7.76%E -7.06%K -77.63%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -9.57%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 00:25
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.57%E -3.10%K -23.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:59
TAB1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 00:00
Caesars1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 00:00
PMU (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.92%E -6.24%K -62.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 00:00
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -12.80%E -2.37%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 00:25
TABtouch1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -3.57%E -3.10%K -23.80%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -14.41%E -2.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 00:25
BetRivers1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -14.41%E -2.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 00:25
LiveScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -15.22%E -2.90%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 00:25
Virgin Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -15.22%E -2.90%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 00:25
Grosvenor1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -15.22%E -2.90%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 00:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -15.22%E -2.90%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 00:25
Coral1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -15.22%E -2.90%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 00:25
LeoVegas1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -16.03%E -3.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -17.64%E -3.46%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 00:24
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -19.26%E -3.85%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 00:25
Bet Victor1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -19.26%E -3.85%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 23:58
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-03-21 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-03-21 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-03-21 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-03-21 00:15
ProphetX1.15I 86.96%NM 85.89%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.11%1.2%2026-03-21 00:25
Smarkets1.14I 87.72%NM 85.27%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.73%2.9%2026-03-21 00:25
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 84.01%5.99I 16.69%NM 15.99%4.4%2026-03-21 00:25