Language:English
Arthur Fils v Stefanos Tsitsipas
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Arthur Fils (Local)
Prediction 59.39%1.68fair odd
EV -0.816%
Edge -0.489%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%59.33%59.24%60.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.601.601.6765.36%62.44%62.50%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visit)
Prediction 40.61%2.46fair odd
EV -0.509%
Edge -0.208%
Kelly -0.351%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.05%40.67%40.76%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.332.342.4545.45%42.86%42.64%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arthur Fils (Local): 59.39%; Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visit): 40.61%. For Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.45, with an expected value of -0.509%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.816%E -0.489%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 00:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.816%E -0.489%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 00:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.816%E -0.489%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 00:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.816%E -0.489%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 00:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -2.00%E -1.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV -1.32%E -0.544%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-03-23 00:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.00%E -1.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 00:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -2.60%E -1.58%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-23 00:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -3.35%E -1.41%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-23 00:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -3.35%E -1.41%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-23 00:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 00:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 00:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 00:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 00:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 00:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 00:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 00:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 00:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 00:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 00:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 00:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 00:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -1.32%E -0.544%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-23 00:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 00:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.98%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 00:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.98%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 00:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 00:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 00:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 00:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-23 00:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-23 00:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-23 00:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.57%E -3.50%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-23 00:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -1.73%E -0.714%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-23 00:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -1.73%E -0.714%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-23 00:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 00:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.35%E -1.41%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 00:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 00:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-23 00:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.509%E -0.208%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-23 00:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -1.73%E -0.714%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 00:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -1.73%E -0.714%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 00:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -2.13%E -0.885%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 00:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 00:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 00:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 00:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 00:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 00:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 00:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 00:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-23 00:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-23 00:21 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-23 00:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.35%E -4.71%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 00:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.94%E -5.12%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 00:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.94%E -5.12%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-23 00:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.13%E -5.97%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.35%E -1.41%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-23 00:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-03-23 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-03-23 00:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-03-23 00:39 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-03-23 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-03-23 00:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02% | 2.5% | 2026-03-23 00:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70% | 3.7% | 2026-03-23 00:39 |