A Escola das Odds

Arthur Fils v Stefanos Tsitsipas

Início: 2026-03-23 00:50 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Arthur Fils (Local)

Previsão 59.39%1.68odd justa
EV -0.816%
Vantagem -0.489%
Kelly -1.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.85%59.33%59.24%60.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.531.601.601.6765.36%62.44%62.50%59.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visitante)

Previsão 40.61%2.46odd justa
EV -0.509%
Vantagem -0.208%
Kelly -0.351%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.05%40.67%40.76%43.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.202.332.342.4545.45%42.86%42.64%40.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.816%E -0.489%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 00:30
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.816%E -0.489%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 00:29
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.816%E -0.489%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 00:29
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.816%E -0.489%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 00:29
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -2.00%E -1.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV -1.32%E -0.544%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.8%2026-03-23 00:29
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.00%E -1.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 00:29
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -2.60%E -1.58%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-23 00:29
BetOnline.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -3.35%E -1.41%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-23 00:40
LowVig.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -3.35%E -1.41%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-23 00:40
DraftKings1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 00:29
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 00:29
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 00:29
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 00:29
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 00:29
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 00:29
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 00:29
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 00:29
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 00:29
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 00:29
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 00:29
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 00:29
1xBet1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -1.32%E -0.544%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-23 00:29
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 00:24
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.98%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 00:29
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.98%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 00:30
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 00:34
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 00:35
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 00:29
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 00:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-23 00:29
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-23 00:29
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.57%E -3.50%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 00:29
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -1.73%E -0.714%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 00:29
FanDuel1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -1.73%E -0.714%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 00:35
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 00:40
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.35%E -1.41%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 00:29
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 00:29
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 00:30
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.509%E -0.208%K -0.351%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-23 00:30
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -1.73%E -0.714%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 00:29
ReBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -1.73%E -0.714%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 00:29
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -2.13%E -0.885%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 00:34
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 00:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 00:40
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 00:40
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 00:40
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 00:40
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 00:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 00:40
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-23 00:29
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-23 00:21
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-23 00:29
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.35%E -4.71%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 00:30
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.94%E -5.12%K -14.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 00:30
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.94%E -5.12%K -14.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-23 00:29
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.13%E -5.97%K -17.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.35%E -1.41%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-23 00:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-03-23 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-03-23 00:40
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-03-23 00:39
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-03-23 00:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-03-23 00:39
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%2.5%2026-03-23 00:40
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%3.7%2026-03-23 00:39