L’École des cotes

Arthur Fils v Stefanos Tsitsipas

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-23 00:50 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Arthur Fils (Local)

Prévision 59.39%1.68cote équitable
EV -0.816%
Avantage -0.489%
Kelly -1.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.85%59.33%59.24%60.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.601.601.6765.36%62.44%62.50%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.61%2.46cote équitable
EV -0.509%
Avantage -0.208%
Kelly -0.351%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.05%40.67%40.76%43.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.332.342.4545.45%42.86%42.64%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.816%E -0.489%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 00:30
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.816%E -0.489%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 00:29
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.816%E -0.489%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 00:29
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.816%E -0.489%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 00:29
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -2.00%E -1.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV -1.32%E -0.544%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.8%2026-03-23 00:29
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.00%E -1.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 00:29
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -2.60%E -1.58%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-23 00:29
BetOnline.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -3.35%E -1.41%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-23 00:40
LowVig.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -3.35%E -1.41%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-23 00:40
DraftKings1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 00:29
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 00:29
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 00:29
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 00:29
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 00:29
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 00:29
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 00:29
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 00:29
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 00:29
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 00:29
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 00:29
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 00:29
1xBet1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -1.32%E -0.544%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-23 00:29
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 00:24
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.98%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 00:29
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.98%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 00:30
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 00:34
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 00:35
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 00:29
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 00:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-23 00:29
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-23 00:29
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.57%E -3.50%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 00:29
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -1.73%E -0.714%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 00:29
FanDuel1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -1.73%E -0.714%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 00:35
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 00:40
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.35%E -1.41%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 00:29
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 00:29
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 00:30
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.509%E -0.208%K -0.351%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-23 00:30
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -1.73%E -0.714%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 00:29
ReBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -1.73%E -0.714%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 00:29
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -2.13%E -0.885%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 00:34
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 00:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 00:40
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 00:40
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 00:40
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 00:40
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 00:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 00:40
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-23 00:29
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-23 00:21
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-23 00:29
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.35%E -4.71%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 00:30
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.94%E -5.12%K -14.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 00:30
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.94%E -5.12%K -14.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-23 00:29
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.13%E -5.97%K -17.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.35%E -1.41%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-23 00:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-03-23 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-03-23 00:40
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-03-23 00:39
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-03-23 00:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-03-23 00:39
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%2.5%2026-03-23 00:40
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%3.7%2026-03-23 00:39