La escuela de los momios

Arthur Fils v Stefanos Tsitsipas

Inicio: 2026-03-23 00:50 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Arthur Fils (Local)

Predicción 59.39%1.68momio equitativo
EV -0.816%
Ventaja -0.489%
Kelly -1.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.85%59.33%59.24%60.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.601.601.6765.36%62.44%62.50%59.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visitante)

Predicción 40.61%2.46momio equitativo
EV -0.509%
Ventaja -0.208%
Kelly -0.351%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.05%40.67%40.76%43.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.332.342.4545.45%42.86%42.64%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.816%E -0.489%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 00:30
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.816%E -0.489%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 00:29
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.816%E -0.489%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 00:29
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.816%E -0.489%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 00:29
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -2.00%E -1.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV -1.32%E -0.544%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.8%2026-03-23 00:29
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.00%E -1.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 00:29
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -2.60%E -1.58%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-23 00:29
BetOnline.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -3.35%E -1.41%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-23 00:40
LowVig.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -3.35%E -1.41%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-23 00:40
DraftKings1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 00:29
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 00:29
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 00:29
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 00:29
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 00:29
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 00:29
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 00:29
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 00:29
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 00:29
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 00:29
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 00:29
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 00:29
1xBet1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -1.32%E -0.544%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-23 00:29
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 00:24
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.98%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 00:29
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.98%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 00:30
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 00:34
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 00:35
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 00:29
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 00:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-23 00:29
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-23 00:29
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.57%E -3.50%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 00:29
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -1.73%E -0.714%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 00:29
FanDuel1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -1.73%E -0.714%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 00:35
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 00:40
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.35%E -1.41%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 00:29
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 00:29
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 00:30
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.509%E -0.208%K -0.351%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-23 00:30
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -1.73%E -0.714%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 00:29
ReBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -1.73%E -0.714%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 00:29
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -2.13%E -0.885%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 00:34
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 00:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 00:40
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 00:40
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 00:40
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 00:40
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 00:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 00:40
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-23 00:29
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-23 00:21
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-23 00:29
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.35%E -4.71%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 00:30
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.94%E -5.12%K -14.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 00:30
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.94%E -5.12%K -14.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-23 00:29
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.13%E -5.97%K -17.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.35%E -1.41%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-23 00:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-03-23 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-03-23 00:40
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-03-23 00:39
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-03-23 00:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-03-23 00:39
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%2.5%2026-03-23 00:40
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%3.7%2026-03-23 00:39