The School of Odds

Alexandre Muller v Matteo Berrettini

Matchstart: 2026-03-19 18:30 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

52 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Alexandre Muller (Hemma)

Prognos 24.66%4.06rättvist odds
EV +15.89%
Fördel +3.38%
Kelly +4.30%
Tillväxt +0.683%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.70

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
20.34%24.66%25.00%30.02%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.103.893.804.7032.26%25.71%26.32%21.28%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Matteo Berrettini (Borta)

Prognos 75.34%1.33rättvist odds
EV +0.205%
Fördel +0.154%
Kelly +0.621%
Tillväxt +0.001%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.33

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
69.98%75.34%75.00%79.66%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.181.251.251.3384.75%80.10%80.00%75.19%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (52 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
SportsBet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +15.89%E +3.38%K +4.30%G +0.683%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -9.59%E -7.99%K -47.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 16:09
Pinnacle4.53I 22.08%NM 21.49%EV +11.70%E +2.58%K +3.31%G +0.388%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.51%EV -6.58%E -5.30%K -27.40%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-19 17:39
BetUS4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +10.96%E +2.44%K +3.13%G +0.343%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -8.84%E -7.30%K -42.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 18:00
Unibet (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +10.96%E +2.44%K +3.13%G +0.343%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -8.84%E -7.30%K -42.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-18 11:14
GTbets4.41I 22.68%NM 22.08%EV +8.74%E +1.98%K +2.56%G +0.224%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.92%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-18 21:45
Parions Sport (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +8.49%E +1.93%K +2.50%G +0.212%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -9.59%E -7.99%K -47.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 18:00
TAB4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +8.49%E +1.93%K +2.50%G +0.212%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -11.10%E -9.40%K -61.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 18:20
LowVig.ag4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV +7.02%E +1.62%K +2.10%G +0.147%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -6.58%E -5.30%K -27.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 11:14
BetOnline.ag4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV +7.02%E +1.62%K +2.10%G +0.147%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -6.58%E -5.30%K -27.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 11:14
1xBet4.32I 23.15%NM 22.16%EV +6.52%E +1.51%K +1.96%G +0.128%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.84%EV -7.33%E -5.96%K -31.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 18:09
Bet Right4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +6.03%E +1.40%K +1.83%G +0.110%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -8.08%E -6.63%K -36.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 16:09
NetBet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV +6.03%E +1.40%K +1.83%G +0.110%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -11.10%E -9.40%K -61.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 00:25
Marathon Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +4.80%E +1.13%K +1.48%G +0.071%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -8.08%E -6.63%K -36.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 18:10
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +3.56%E +0.848%K +1.11%G +0.040%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -8.08%E -6.63%K -36.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 21:50
Betr (AU)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV +2.33%E +0.562%K +0.740%G +0.017%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -8.08%E -6.63%K -36.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 18:10
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.37%E -0.342%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 18:24
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -1.37%E -0.342%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.58%E -5.30%K -27.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 18:24
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -1.37%E -0.342%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.58%E -5.30%K -27.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 18:14
FanDuel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -1.37%E -0.342%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.58%E -5.30%K -27.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 18:24
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.37%E -0.342%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.08%E -6.63%K -36.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 18:23
Everygame4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -1.37%E -0.342%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.59%E -7.99%K -47.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-18 23:41
Unibet (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -2.60%E -0.659%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 18:24
Unibet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -2.60%E -0.659%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 18:24
ATG (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -2.60%E -0.659%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 18:24
DraftKings3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.30%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.32%E -3.40%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 18:25
TABtouch3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.30%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 18:24
Virgin Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.30%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.58%E -5.30%K -27.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 18:24
Fliff3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.30%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -8.84%E -7.30%K -42.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-19 18:25
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -7.53%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.81%E -2.18%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 18:24
theScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.53%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 18:24
888sport3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.53%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 18:24
888sport (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.53%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 18:24
Fanatics3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.53%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.08%E -6.63%K -36.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 18:24
Unibet (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -8.77%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -2.81%E -2.18%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 18:25
Casumo3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -8.77%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.56%E -2.78%K -12.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 18:24
Unibet (NL)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.00%E -2.74%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.56%E -2.78%K -12.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 18:25
betPARX3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.00%E -2.74%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.56%E -2.78%K -12.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 18:25
Svenska Spel3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.00%E -2.74%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.56%E -2.78%K -12.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 18:24
Betsson3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -11.23%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.32%E -3.40%K -15.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 18:24
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.23%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 18:25
BetRivers3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -12.46%E -3.51%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -3.56%E -2.78%K -12.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 18:24
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -12.46%E -3.51%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -4.32%E -3.40%K -15.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 18:25
LiveScore Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -12.46%E -3.51%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -4.32%E -3.40%K -15.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 18:25
Grosvenor3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -12.46%E -3.51%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -4.32%E -3.40%K -15.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 18:25
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -13.70%E -3.91%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.06%E -1.58%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 18:24
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -13.70%E -3.91%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.81%E -2.18%K -9.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 18:24
LeoVegas3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.70%E -3.91%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 18:24
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.70%E -3.91%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -14.93%E -4.33%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-19 18:25
Coral3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -19.86%E -6.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -2.06%E -1.58%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 18:24
Ladbrokes (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -19.86%E -6.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -2.06%E -1.58%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 18:25
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -23.56%E -7.60%K -11.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV +0.205%E +0.154%K +0.621%G +0.001%7.4%2026-03-19 18:24
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-03-19 18:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-03-19 18:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-03-19 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74%2.1%2026-03-19 18:25
Matchbook3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.36%2.7%2026-03-19 18:24
Novig3.77I 26.53%NM 25.79%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.21%2.9%2026-03-19 18:24
ProphetX3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%6.0%2026-03-19 18:24