La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Alexandre Muller v Matteo Berrettini
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Alexandre Muller (Casa)
Previsione 24.66%4.06quota equa
EV +15.89%
Vantaggio +3.38%
Kelly +4.30%
Crescita +0.683%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.70
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.34%24.66%25.00%30.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.893.804.7032.26%25.71%26.32%21.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Matteo Berrettini (Trasferta)
Previsione 75.34%1.33quota equa
EV +0.205%
Vantaggio +0.154%
Kelly +0.621%
Crescita +0.001%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.33
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.98%75.34%75.00%79.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.181.251.251.3384.75%80.10%80.00%75.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +15.89%E +3.38%K +4.30%G +0.683% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -9.59%E -7.99%K -47.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
| Pinnacle | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.49%EV +11.70%E +2.58%K +3.31%G +0.388% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.51%EV -6.58%E -5.30%K -27.40%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| BetUS | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +10.96%E +2.44%K +3.13%G +0.343% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -8.84%E -7.30%K -42.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +10.96%E +2.44%K +3.13%G +0.343% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -8.84%E -7.30%K -42.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-18 11:14 |
| GTbets | 4.41I 22.68%NM 22.08%EV +8.74%E +1.98%K +2.56%G +0.224% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.92%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-18 21:45 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +8.49%E +1.93%K +2.50%G +0.212% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -9.59%E -7.99%K -47.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-19 18:00 |
| TAB | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +8.49%E +1.93%K +2.50%G +0.212% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -11.10%E -9.40%K -61.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV +7.02%E +1.62%K +2.10%G +0.147% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -6.58%E -5.30%K -27.40%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-19 11:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV +7.02%E +1.62%K +2.10%G +0.147% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -6.58%E -5.30%K -27.40%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-19 11:14 |
| 1xBet | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.16%EV +6.52%E +1.51%K +1.96%G +0.128% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.84%EV -7.33%E -5.96%K -31.87%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 18:09 |
| Bet Right | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +6.03%E +1.40%K +1.83%G +0.110% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -8.08%E -6.63%K -36.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV +6.03%E +1.40%K +1.83%G +0.110% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -11.10%E -9.40%K -61.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-19 00:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +4.80%E +1.13%K +1.48%G +0.071% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -8.08%E -6.63%K -36.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 18:10 |
| William Hill | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +3.56%E +0.848%K +1.11%G +0.040% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -8.08%E -6.63%K -36.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-17 21:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV +2.33%E +0.562%K +0.740%G +0.017% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -8.08%E -6.63%K -36.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-19 18:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.37%E -0.342%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -1.37%E -0.342%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.58%E -5.30%K -27.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| PlayUp | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -1.37%E -0.342%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.58%E -5.30%K -27.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 18:14 |
| FanDuel | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -1.37%E -0.342%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.58%E -5.30%K -27.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| Bet Victor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.37%E -0.342%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.08%E -6.63%K -36.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 18:23 |
| Everygame | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -1.37%E -0.342%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.59%E -7.99%K -47.95%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-18 23:41 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -2.60%E -0.659%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| Unibet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -2.60%E -0.659%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -2.60%E -0.659%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| DraftKings | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.30%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.32%E -3.40%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| TABtouch | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.30%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.30%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.58%E -5.30%K -27.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| Fliff | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.30%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -8.84%E -7.30%K -42.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| Bovada | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -7.53%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.81%E -2.18%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| theScore Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.53%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| 888sport | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.53%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.53%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| Fanatics | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.53%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.08%E -6.63%K -36.74%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -8.77%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -2.81%E -2.18%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| Casumo | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -8.77%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.56%E -2.78%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.00%E -2.74%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.56%E -2.78%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| betPARX | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.00%E -2.74%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.56%E -2.78%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.00%E -2.74%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.56%E -2.78%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| Betsson | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -11.23%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.32%E -3.40%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| BoyleSports | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.23%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| BetRivers | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -12.46%E -3.51%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -3.56%E -2.78%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| NordicBet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -12.46%E -3.51%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -4.32%E -3.40%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -12.46%E -3.51%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -4.32%E -3.40%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| Grosvenor | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -12.46%E -3.51%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -4.32%E -3.40%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -13.70%E -3.91%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.06%E -1.58%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -13.70%E -3.91%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.81%E -2.18%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| LeoVegas | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.70%E -3.91%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.70%E -3.91%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -14.93%E -4.33%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| Coral | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -19.86%E -6.11%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -2.06%E -1.58%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -19.86%E -6.11%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -2.06%E -1.58%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| Caesars | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -23.56%E -7.60%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV +0.205%E +0.154%K +0.621%G +0.001% | 7.4% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74% | 2.1% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| Matchbook | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.36% | 2.7% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| Novig | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.79% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.21% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| ProphetX | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |