L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Alexandre Muller v Matteo Berrettini
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Alexandre Muller (Local)
Prévision 24.66%4.06cote équitable
EV +15.89%
Avantage +3.38%
Kelly +4.30%
Croissance +0.683%
avec la cote maximale 4.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.34%24.66%25.00%30.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.893.804.7032.26%25.71%26.32%21.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Matteo Berrettini (Visiteur)
Prévision 75.34%1.33cote équitable
EV +0.205%
Avantage +0.154%
Kelly +0.621%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 1.33
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.98%75.34%75.00%79.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.181.251.251.3384.75%80.10%80.00%75.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +15.89%E +3.38%K +4.30%G +0.683% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -9.59%E -7.99%K -47.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
| Pinnacle | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.49%EV +11.70%E +2.58%K +3.31%G +0.388% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.51%EV -6.58%E -5.30%K -27.40%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| BetUS | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +10.96%E +2.44%K +3.13%G +0.343% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -8.84%E -7.30%K -42.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +10.96%E +2.44%K +3.13%G +0.343% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -8.84%E -7.30%K -42.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-18 11:14 |
| GTbets | 4.41I 22.68%NM 22.08%EV +8.74%E +1.98%K +2.56%G +0.224% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.92%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-18 21:45 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +8.49%E +1.93%K +2.50%G +0.212% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -9.59%E -7.99%K -47.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-19 18:00 |
| TAB | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +8.49%E +1.93%K +2.50%G +0.212% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -11.10%E -9.40%K -61.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV +7.02%E +1.62%K +2.10%G +0.147% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -6.58%E -5.30%K -27.40%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-19 11:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV +7.02%E +1.62%K +2.10%G +0.147% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -6.58%E -5.30%K -27.40%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-19 11:14 |
| 1xBet | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.16%EV +6.52%E +1.51%K +1.96%G +0.128% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.84%EV -7.33%E -5.96%K -31.87%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 18:09 |
| Bet Right | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +6.03%E +1.40%K +1.83%G +0.110% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -8.08%E -6.63%K -36.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV +6.03%E +1.40%K +1.83%G +0.110% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -11.10%E -9.40%K -61.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-19 00:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +4.80%E +1.13%K +1.48%G +0.071% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -8.08%E -6.63%K -36.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 18:10 |
| William Hill | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +3.56%E +0.848%K +1.11%G +0.040% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -8.08%E -6.63%K -36.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-17 21:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV +2.33%E +0.562%K +0.740%G +0.017% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -8.08%E -6.63%K -36.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-19 18:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.37%E -0.342%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -1.37%E -0.342%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.58%E -5.30%K -27.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| PlayUp | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -1.37%E -0.342%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.58%E -5.30%K -27.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 18:14 |
| FanDuel | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -1.37%E -0.342%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.58%E -5.30%K -27.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| Bet Victor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.37%E -0.342%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.08%E -6.63%K -36.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 18:23 |
| Everygame | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -1.37%E -0.342%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.59%E -7.99%K -47.95%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-18 23:41 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -2.60%E -0.659%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| Unibet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -2.60%E -0.659%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -2.60%E -0.659%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| DraftKings | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.30%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.32%E -3.40%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| TABtouch | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.30%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.30%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.58%E -5.30%K -27.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| Fliff | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.30%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -8.84%E -7.30%K -42.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| Bovada | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -7.53%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.81%E -2.18%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| theScore Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.53%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| 888sport | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.53%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.53%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| Fanatics | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.53%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.08%E -6.63%K -36.74%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -8.77%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -2.81%E -2.18%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| Casumo | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -8.77%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.56%E -2.78%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.00%E -2.74%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.56%E -2.78%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| betPARX | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.00%E -2.74%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.56%E -2.78%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.00%E -2.74%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.56%E -2.78%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| Betsson | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -11.23%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.32%E -3.40%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| BoyleSports | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.23%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| BetRivers | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -12.46%E -3.51%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -3.56%E -2.78%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| NordicBet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -12.46%E -3.51%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -4.32%E -3.40%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -12.46%E -3.51%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -4.32%E -3.40%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| Grosvenor | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -12.46%E -3.51%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -4.32%E -3.40%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -13.70%E -3.91%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.06%E -1.58%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -13.70%E -3.91%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.81%E -2.18%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| LeoVegas | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.70%E -3.91%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.70%E -3.91%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -14.93%E -4.33%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| Coral | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -19.86%E -6.11%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -2.06%E -1.58%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -19.86%E -6.11%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -2.06%E -1.58%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| Caesars | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -23.56%E -7.60%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV +0.205%E +0.154%K +0.621%G +0.001% | 7.4% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74% | 2.1% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| Matchbook | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.36% | 2.7% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| Novig | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.79% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.21% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| ProphetX | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |