La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Alexandre Muller v Matteo Berrettini
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alexandre Muller (Local)
Predicción 24.66%4.06momio equitativo
EV +15.89%
Ventaja +3.38%
Kelly +4.30%
Crecimiento +0.683%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.34%24.66%25.00%30.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.893.804.7032.26%25.71%26.32%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Matteo Berrettini (Visitante)
Predicción 75.34%1.33momio equitativo
EV +0.205%
Ventaja +0.154%
Kelly +0.621%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.98%75.34%75.00%79.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.181.251.251.3384.75%80.10%80.00%75.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +15.89%E +3.38%K +4.30%G +0.683% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -9.59%E -7.99%K -47.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
| Pinnacle | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.49%EV +11.70%E +2.58%K +3.31%G +0.388% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.51%EV -6.58%E -5.30%K -27.40%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| BetUS | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +10.96%E +2.44%K +3.13%G +0.343% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -8.84%E -7.30%K -42.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +10.96%E +2.44%K +3.13%G +0.343% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -8.84%E -7.30%K -42.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-18 11:14 |
| GTbets | 4.41I 22.68%NM 22.08%EV +8.74%E +1.98%K +2.56%G +0.224% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.92%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-18 21:45 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +8.49%E +1.93%K +2.50%G +0.212% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -9.59%E -7.99%K -47.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-19 18:00 |
| TAB | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +8.49%E +1.93%K +2.50%G +0.212% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -11.10%E -9.40%K -61.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV +7.02%E +1.62%K +2.10%G +0.147% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -6.58%E -5.30%K -27.40%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-19 11:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV +7.02%E +1.62%K +2.10%G +0.147% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -6.58%E -5.30%K -27.40%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-19 11:14 |
| 1xBet | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.16%EV +6.52%E +1.51%K +1.96%G +0.128% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.84%EV -7.33%E -5.96%K -31.87%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 18:09 |
| Bet Right | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +6.03%E +1.40%K +1.83%G +0.110% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -8.08%E -6.63%K -36.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV +6.03%E +1.40%K +1.83%G +0.110% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -11.10%E -9.40%K -61.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-19 00:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +4.80%E +1.13%K +1.48%G +0.071% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -8.08%E -6.63%K -36.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 18:10 |
| William Hill | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +3.56%E +0.848%K +1.11%G +0.040% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -8.08%E -6.63%K -36.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-17 21:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV +2.33%E +0.562%K +0.740%G +0.017% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -8.08%E -6.63%K -36.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-19 18:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.37%E -0.342%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -1.37%E -0.342%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.58%E -5.30%K -27.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| PlayUp | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -1.37%E -0.342%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.58%E -5.30%K -27.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 18:14 |
| FanDuel | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -1.37%E -0.342%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.58%E -5.30%K -27.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| Bet Victor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.37%E -0.342%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.08%E -6.63%K -36.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 18:23 |
| Everygame | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -1.37%E -0.342%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.59%E -7.99%K -47.95%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-18 23:41 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -2.60%E -0.659%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| Unibet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -2.60%E -0.659%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -2.60%E -0.659%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| DraftKings | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.30%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.32%E -3.40%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| TABtouch | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.30%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.30%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.58%E -5.30%K -27.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| Fliff | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.30%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -8.84%E -7.30%K -42.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| Bovada | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -7.53%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.81%E -2.18%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| theScore Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.53%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| 888sport | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.53%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.53%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| Fanatics | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.53%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.08%E -6.63%K -36.74%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -8.77%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -2.81%E -2.18%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| Casumo | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -8.77%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.56%E -2.78%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.00%E -2.74%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.56%E -2.78%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| betPARX | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.00%E -2.74%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.56%E -2.78%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.00%E -2.74%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.56%E -2.78%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| Betsson | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -11.23%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.32%E -3.40%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| BoyleSports | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.23%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| BetRivers | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -12.46%E -3.51%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -3.56%E -2.78%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| NordicBet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -12.46%E -3.51%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -4.32%E -3.40%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -12.46%E -3.51%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -4.32%E -3.40%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| Grosvenor | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -12.46%E -3.51%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -4.32%E -3.40%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -13.70%E -3.91%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.06%E -1.58%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -13.70%E -3.91%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.81%E -2.18%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| LeoVegas | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.70%E -3.91%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.70%E -3.91%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -14.93%E -4.33%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| Coral | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -19.86%E -6.11%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -2.06%E -1.58%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -19.86%E -6.11%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -2.06%E -1.58%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| Caesars | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -23.56%E -7.60%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV +0.205%E +0.154%K +0.621%G +0.001% | 7.4% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74% | 2.1% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| Matchbook | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.36% | 2.7% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| Novig | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.79% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.21% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |
| ProphetX | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 18:24 |