Die Wettquotenschule

Alexandre Muller v Matteo Berrettini

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-19 18:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

52 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Alexandre Muller (Heim)

Prognose 24.66%4.06faire Quote
EV +15.89%
Vorteil +3.38%
Kelly +4.30%
Wachstum +0.683%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.70

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
20.34%24.66%25.00%30.02%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.103.893.804.7032.26%25.71%26.32%21.28%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Matteo Berrettini (Auswärts)

Prognose 75.34%1.33faire Quote
EV +0.205%
Vorteil +0.154%
Kelly +0.621%
Wachstum +0.001%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.33

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
69.98%75.34%75.00%79.66%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.181.251.251.3384.75%80.10%80.00%75.19%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (52 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
SportsBet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +15.89%E +3.38%K +4.30%G +0.683%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -9.59%E -7.99%K -47.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 16:09
Pinnacle4.53I 22.08%NM 21.49%EV +11.70%E +2.58%K +3.31%G +0.388%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.51%EV -6.58%E -5.30%K -27.40%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-19 17:39
BetUS4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +10.96%E +2.44%K +3.13%G +0.343%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -8.84%E -7.30%K -42.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 18:00
Unibet (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +10.96%E +2.44%K +3.13%G +0.343%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -8.84%E -7.30%K -42.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-18 11:14
GTbets4.41I 22.68%NM 22.08%EV +8.74%E +1.98%K +2.56%G +0.224%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.92%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-18 21:45
Parions Sport (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +8.49%E +1.93%K +2.50%G +0.212%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -9.59%E -7.99%K -47.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 18:00
TAB4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +8.49%E +1.93%K +2.50%G +0.212%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -11.10%E -9.40%K -61.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 18:20
LowVig.ag4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV +7.02%E +1.62%K +2.10%G +0.147%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -6.58%E -5.30%K -27.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 11:14
BetOnline.ag4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV +7.02%E +1.62%K +2.10%G +0.147%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -6.58%E -5.30%K -27.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 11:14
1xBet4.32I 23.15%NM 22.16%EV +6.52%E +1.51%K +1.96%G +0.128%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.84%EV -7.33%E -5.96%K -31.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 18:09
Bet Right4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +6.03%E +1.40%K +1.83%G +0.110%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -8.08%E -6.63%K -36.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 16:09
NetBet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV +6.03%E +1.40%K +1.83%G +0.110%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -11.10%E -9.40%K -61.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 00:25
Marathon Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +4.80%E +1.13%K +1.48%G +0.071%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -8.08%E -6.63%K -36.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 18:10
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +3.56%E +0.848%K +1.11%G +0.040%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -8.08%E -6.63%K -36.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 21:50
Betr (AU)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV +2.33%E +0.562%K +0.740%G +0.017%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -8.08%E -6.63%K -36.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 18:10
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.37%E -0.342%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 18:24
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -1.37%E -0.342%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.58%E -5.30%K -27.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 18:24
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -1.37%E -0.342%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.58%E -5.30%K -27.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 18:14
FanDuel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -1.37%E -0.342%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.58%E -5.30%K -27.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 18:24
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.37%E -0.342%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.08%E -6.63%K -36.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 18:23
Everygame4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -1.37%E -0.342%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.59%E -7.99%K -47.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-18 23:41
Unibet (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -2.60%E -0.659%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 18:24
Unibet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -2.60%E -0.659%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 18:24
ATG (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -2.60%E -0.659%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 18:24
DraftKings3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.30%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.32%E -3.40%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 18:25
TABtouch3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.30%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 18:24
Virgin Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.30%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.58%E -5.30%K -27.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 18:24
Fliff3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.30%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -8.84%E -7.30%K -42.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-19 18:25
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -7.53%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.81%E -2.18%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 18:24
theScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.53%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 18:24
888sport3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.53%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 18:24
888sport (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.53%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 18:24
Fanatics3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.53%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.08%E -6.63%K -36.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 18:24
Unibet (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -8.77%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -2.81%E -2.18%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 18:25
Casumo3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -8.77%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.56%E -2.78%K -12.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 18:24
Unibet (NL)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.00%E -2.74%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.56%E -2.78%K -12.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 18:25
betPARX3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.00%E -2.74%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.56%E -2.78%K -12.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 18:25
Svenska Spel3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.00%E -2.74%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.56%E -2.78%K -12.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 18:24
Betsson3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -11.23%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.32%E -3.40%K -15.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 18:24
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.23%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 18:25
BetRivers3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -12.46%E -3.51%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -3.56%E -2.78%K -12.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 18:24
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -12.46%E -3.51%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -4.32%E -3.40%K -15.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 18:25
LiveScore Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -12.46%E -3.51%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -4.32%E -3.40%K -15.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 18:25
Grosvenor3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -12.46%E -3.51%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -4.32%E -3.40%K -15.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 18:25
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -13.70%E -3.91%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.06%E -1.58%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 18:24
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -13.70%E -3.91%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.81%E -2.18%K -9.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 18:24
LeoVegas3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.70%E -3.91%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 18:24
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.70%E -3.91%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -14.93%E -4.33%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -5.82%E -4.66%K -23.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-19 18:25
Coral3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -19.86%E -6.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -2.06%E -1.58%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 18:24
Ladbrokes (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -19.86%E -6.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -2.06%E -1.58%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 18:25
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -23.56%E -7.60%K -11.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV +0.205%E +0.154%K +0.621%G +0.001%7.4%2026-03-19 18:24
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-03-19 18:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-03-19 18:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-03-19 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74%2.1%2026-03-19 18:25
Matchbook3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.36%2.7%2026-03-19 18:24
Novig3.77I 26.53%NM 25.79%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.21%2.9%2026-03-19 18:24
ProphetX3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%6.0%2026-03-19 18:24