Szkoła Kursów

Adam Walton v Sebastian Baez

Początek: 2026-03-20 21:15 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

50 bukmacherów (15 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Adam Walton (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 43.84%2.28kurs godziwy
EV -0.043%
Przewaga -0.019%
Kelly -0.034%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.28

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
41.86%43.80%43.93%44.88%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.102.182.202.2847.62%45.80%45.45%43.86%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Sebastian Baez (Goście)

Prognoza 56.16%1.78kurs godziwy
EV -2.28%
Przewaga -1.31%
Kelly -3.08%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.74

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
55.12%56.20%56.07%58.14%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.601.681.681.7462.50%59.48%59.52%57.47%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (50 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
FanDuel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -0.043%E -0.019%K -0.034%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 21:10
SportsBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -0.482%E -0.212%K -0.379%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -7.90%E -4.82%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.36%E -0.604%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-20 21:10
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.36%E -0.604%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.02%E -5.57%K -14.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 21:10
1xBet2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -2.24%E -1.00%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -3.41%E -1.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-20 21:09
LowVig.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.24%E -1.00%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-20 21:10
BetOnline.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.24%E -1.00%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-20 21:10
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 21:09
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
Bally Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 21:10
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 21:10
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 21:10
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 21:10
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 21:10
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 21:10
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.02%E -5.57%K -14.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 21:10
Bet Right2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 21:10
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.67%EV -10.15%E -6.34%K -16.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 21:10
DraftKings2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.87%E -2.24%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 21:10
Unibet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.87%E -2.24%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 21:10
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.28%E -1.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 21:10
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.84%E -1.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 21:10
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 21:09
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 21:10
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 21:10
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 21:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 21:10
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 21:10
Betsson2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.18%E -2.89%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.41%E -1.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 21:10
NordicBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.18%E -2.89%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.41%E -1.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 21:10
ReBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.18%E -2.89%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.41%E -1.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 21:10
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 21:10
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 21:10
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 21:10
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 21:10
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%0.8%2026-03-20 21:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%0.8%2026-03-20 21:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%0.8%2026-03-20 21:10
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-03-20 21:10
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%1.9%2026-03-20 21:10
Novig2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%1.9%2026-03-20 21:10