Die Wettquotenschule

Adam Walton v Sebastian Baez

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-20 21:15 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

50 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Adam Walton (Heim)

Prognose 43.84%2.28faire Quote
EV -0.043%
Vorteil -0.019%
Kelly -0.034%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.28

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
41.86%43.80%43.93%44.88%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.102.182.202.2847.62%45.80%45.45%43.86%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Sebastian Baez (Auswärts)

Prognose 56.16%1.78faire Quote
EV -2.28%
Vorteil -1.31%
Kelly -3.08%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.74

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
55.12%56.20%56.07%58.14%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.601.681.681.7462.50%59.48%59.52%57.47%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (50 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
FanDuel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -0.043%E -0.019%K -0.034%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 21:10
SportsBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -0.482%E -0.212%K -0.379%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -7.90%E -4.82%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.36%E -0.604%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-20 21:10
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.36%E -0.604%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.02%E -5.57%K -14.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 21:10
1xBet2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -2.24%E -1.00%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -3.41%E -1.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-20 21:09
LowVig.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.24%E -1.00%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-20 21:10
BetOnline.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.24%E -1.00%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-20 21:10
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 21:09
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
Bally Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 21:10
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 21:10
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 21:10
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 21:10
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 21:10
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 21:10
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.02%E -5.57%K -14.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 21:10
Bet Right2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 21:10
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.67%EV -10.15%E -6.34%K -16.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 21:10
DraftKings2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.87%E -2.24%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 21:10
Unibet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.87%E -2.24%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 21:10
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.28%E -1.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 21:10
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.84%E -1.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 21:10
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 21:09
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 21:10
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 21:10
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 21:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 21:10
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 21:10
Betsson2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.18%E -2.89%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.41%E -1.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 21:10
NordicBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.18%E -2.89%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.41%E -1.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 21:10
ReBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.18%E -2.89%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.41%E -1.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 21:10
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 21:10
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 21:10
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 21:10
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 21:10
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%0.8%2026-03-20 21:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%0.8%2026-03-20 21:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%0.8%2026-03-20 21:10
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-03-20 21:10
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%1.9%2026-03-20 21:10
Novig2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%1.9%2026-03-20 21:10