La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Adam Walton v Sebastian Baez
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Adam Walton (Local)
Predicción 43.84%2.28momio equitativo
EV -0.043%
Ventaja -0.019%
Kelly -0.034%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.86%43.80%43.93%44.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.182.202.2847.62%45.80%45.45%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Sebastian Baez (Visitante)
Predicción 56.16%1.78momio equitativo
EV -2.28%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -3.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.12%56.20%56.07%58.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.681.681.7462.50%59.48%59.52%57.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -0.043%E -0.019%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -0.482%E -0.212%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -7.90%E -4.82%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.36%E -0.604%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.36%E -0.604%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.02%E -5.57%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| 1xBet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -2.24%E -1.00%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -3.41%E -1.98%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-20 21:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.24%E -1.00%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.24%E -1.00%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-20 21:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| Unibet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| TABtouch | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| LeoVegas | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| Casumo | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| betPARX | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| Bally Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.02%E -5.57%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| Bet Right | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.67%EV -10.15%E -6.34%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| DraftKings | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.87%E -2.24%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.87%E -2.24%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.28%E -1.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.84%E -1.64%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| BetUS | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-20 21:09 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 21:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| Betsson | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.18%E -2.89%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.41%E -1.98%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| NordicBet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.18%E -2.89%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.41%E -1.98%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| ReBet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.18%E -2.89%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.41%E -1.98%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| Caesars | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 0.8% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 0.8% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 0.8% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| Matchbook | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| Smarkets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 1.9% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| Novig | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71% | 1.9% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |