La scuola delle quote

Adam Walton v Sebastian Baez

Inizio: 2026-03-20 21:15 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

50 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Adam Walton (Casa)

Previsione 43.84%2.28quota equa
EV -0.043%
Vantaggio -0.019%
Kelly -0.034%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.86%43.80%43.93%44.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.182.202.2847.62%45.80%45.45%43.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sebastian Baez (Trasferta)

Previsione 56.16%1.78quota equa
EV -2.28%
Vantaggio -1.31%
Kelly -3.08%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.74

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.12%56.20%56.07%58.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.601.681.681.7462.50%59.48%59.52%57.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
FanDuel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -0.043%E -0.019%K -0.034%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 21:10
SportsBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -0.482%E -0.212%K -0.379%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -7.90%E -4.82%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.36%E -0.604%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-20 21:10
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.36%E -0.604%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.02%E -5.57%K -14.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 21:10
1xBet2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -2.24%E -1.00%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -3.41%E -1.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-20 21:09
LowVig.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.24%E -1.00%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-20 21:10
BetOnline.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.24%E -1.00%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-20 21:10
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 21:09
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
Bally Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 21:10
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 21:10
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 21:10
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 21:10
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 21:10
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 21:10
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.02%E -5.57%K -14.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 21:10
Bet Right2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 21:10
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.67%EV -10.15%E -6.34%K -16.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 21:10
DraftKings2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.87%E -2.24%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 21:10
Unibet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.87%E -2.24%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 21:10
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.28%E -1.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 21:10
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.84%E -1.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 21:10
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:10
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 21:09
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 21:10
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 21:10
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 21:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 21:10
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 21:10
Betsson2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.18%E -2.89%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.41%E -1.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 21:10
NordicBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.18%E -2.89%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.41%E -1.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 21:10
ReBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.18%E -2.89%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.41%E -1.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 21:10
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 21:10
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 21:10
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 21:10
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 21:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%0.8%2026-03-20 21:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%0.8%2026-03-20 21:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%0.8%2026-03-20 21:10
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-03-20 21:10
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%1.9%2026-03-20 21:10
Novig2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%1.9%2026-03-20 21:10