Language:English
Tomas Machac v Francisco Comesana
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tomas Machac (Local)
Prediction 66.47%1.50fair odd
EV -2.96%
Edge -2.03%
Kelly -6.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.48%66.55%66.31%68.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.421.431.4673.53%70.31%69.93%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Francisco Comesana (Visit)
Prediction 33.53%2.98fair odd
EV +0.269%
Edge +0.090%
Kelly +0.135%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.99
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.89%33.45%33.69%34.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.812.802.9936.36%35.53%35.71%33.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tomas Machac (Local): 66.47%; Francisco Comesana (Visit): 33.53%. For Francisco Comesana (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.98. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.99, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.269%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -6.95%E -4.96%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV +0.269%E +0.090%K +0.135%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-22 16:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -6.28%E -4.46%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -0.067%E -0.022%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-22 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.65%EV -5.62%E -3.96%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.35%EV -0.402%E -0.135%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-22 16:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -3.63%E -2.50%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -1.07%E -0.364%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-22 15:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -5.62%E -3.96%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -1.74%E -0.595%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 16:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -5.62%E -3.96%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -1.74%E -0.595%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 16:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.63%E -2.50%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.75%E -0.948%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-22 16:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.28%E -4.46%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.75%E -0.948%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 16:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -9.61%E -7.06%K -26.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -2.75%E -0.948%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 16:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.95%E -4.96%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.42%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 16:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.43%E -1.55%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 16:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.43%E -1.55%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 14:01 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.62%E -3.96%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.43%E -1.55%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.94%E -6.53%K -24.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -4.43%E -1.55%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.29%E -2.98%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 14:41 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 16:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 16:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 16:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 16:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 16:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 16:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 16:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 16:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 16:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 16:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 16:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 16:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 16:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 16:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 16:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.62%E -3.96%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 16:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.62%E -3.96%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 15:38 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.62%E -3.96%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 16:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.62%E -3.96%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 16:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.28%E -4.46%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.28%E -4.46%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 16:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.95%E -4.96%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 16:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -2.96%E -2.03%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -7.11%E -2.57%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 16:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -2.96%E -2.03%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -7.11%E -2.57%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 15:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.29%E -2.98%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 06:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.29%E -2.98%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-20 16:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.29%E -2.98%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 16:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.29%E -2.98%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-20 17:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.29%E -2.98%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-20 18:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.29%E -2.98%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-20 18:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.62%E -3.96%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 13:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.62%E -3.96%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.95%E -4.96%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.95%E -4.96%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 14:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.95%E -4.96%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.95%E -4.96%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.95%E -4.96%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 14:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.95%E -4.96%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 14:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 0.2% | 2026-04-22 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 1.2% | 2026-04-22 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 1.2% | 2026-04-22 16:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 1.2% | 2026-04-22 16:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07% | 2.2% | 2026-04-22 16:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.06% | 2.9% | 2026-04-22 16:39 |