Школа коэффициентов

Tomas Machac v Francisco Comesana

Начало: 2026-04-22 16:45 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

53 букмекерские конторы (18 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Tomas Machac (Хозяева)

Прогноз 66.47%1.50справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.96%
Преимущество -2.03%
Kelly -6.44%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.46

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
65.48%66.55%66.31%68.11%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.361.421.431.4673.53%70.31%69.93%68.49%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Francisco Comesana (Гости)

Прогноз 33.53%2.98справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.269%
Преимущество +0.090%
Kelly +0.135%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.99

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
31.89%33.45%33.69%34.52%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.752.812.802.9936.36%35.53%35.71%33.44%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (53 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -6.95%E -4.96%K -17.37%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV +0.269%E +0.090%K +0.135%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 16:30
FanDuel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -6.28%E -4.46%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -0.067%E -0.022%K -0.034%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 16:30
Betclic (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.65%EV -5.62%E -3.96%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.35%EV -0.402%E -0.135%K -0.204%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 16:39
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -3.63%E -2.50%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -1.07%E -0.364%K -0.550%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-22 15:44
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -5.62%E -3.96%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -1.74%E -0.595%K -0.903%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 16:39
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -5.62%E -3.96%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -1.74%E -0.595%K -0.903%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 16:39
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.63%E -2.50%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.75%E -0.948%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-22 16:39
DraftKings1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.28%E -4.46%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.75%E -0.948%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 16:40
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -9.61%E -7.06%K -26.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -2.75%E -0.948%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 16:40
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.95%E -4.96%K -17.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.42%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 16:25
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.43%E -1.55%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 16:24
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.43%E -1.55%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 14:01
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.62%E -3.96%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.43%E -1.55%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 15:30
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.94%E -6.53%K -24.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -4.43%E -1.55%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 13:50
Unibet (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.29%E -2.98%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 14:41
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
Hard Rock Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.62%E -3.96%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 16:24
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.62%E -3.96%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 15:38
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.62%E -3.96%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 16:39
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.62%E -3.96%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 16:40
Virgin Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.28%E -4.46%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 16:09
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.28%E -4.46%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 16:10
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.95%E -4.96%K -17.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 16:40
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -2.96%E -2.03%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -7.11%E -2.57%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 16:39
GTbets1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -2.96%E -2.03%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -7.11%E -2.57%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 15:09
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.29%E -2.98%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 06:04
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.29%E -2.98%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 16:35
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.29%E -2.98%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 16:39
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.29%E -2.98%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 17:50
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.29%E -2.98%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 18:15
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.29%E -2.98%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 18:34
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.62%E -3.96%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 13:45
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.62%E -3.96%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 16:19
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.95%E -4.96%K -17.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.95%E -4.96%K -17.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 14:00
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.95%E -4.96%K -17.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 16:09
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.95%E -4.96%K -17.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.95%E -4.96%K -17.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 14:00
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.95%E -4.96%K -17.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 14:00
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-04-22 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-04-22 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-04-22 16:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-04-22 16:39
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%2.2%2026-04-22 16:40
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.06%2.9%2026-04-22 16:39