مدرسة الاحتمالات

Tomas Machac v Francisco Comesana

البداية: 2026-04-22 16:45 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Tomas Machac (المضيف)

التنبؤ 66.47%1.50السعر العادل
EV -2.96%
الأفضلية -2.03%
Kelly -6.44%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.46

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
65.48%66.55%66.31%68.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.361.421.431.4673.53%70.31%69.93%68.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Francisco Comesana (الضيف)

التنبؤ 33.53%2.98السعر العادل
EV +0.269%
الأفضلية +0.090%
Kelly +0.135%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.99

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.89%33.45%33.69%34.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.752.812.802.9936.36%35.53%35.71%33.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -6.95%E -4.96%K -17.37%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV +0.269%E +0.090%K +0.135%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 16:30
FanDuel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -6.28%E -4.46%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -0.067%E -0.022%K -0.034%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 16:30
Betclic (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.65%EV -5.62%E -3.96%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.35%EV -0.402%E -0.135%K -0.204%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 16:39
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -3.63%E -2.50%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -1.07%E -0.364%K -0.550%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-22 15:44
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -5.62%E -3.96%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -1.74%E -0.595%K -0.903%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 16:39
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -5.62%E -3.96%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -1.74%E -0.595%K -0.903%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 16:39
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.63%E -2.50%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.75%E -0.948%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-22 16:39
DraftKings1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.28%E -4.46%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.75%E -0.948%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 16:40
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -9.61%E -7.06%K -26.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -2.75%E -0.948%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 16:40
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.95%E -4.96%K -17.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.42%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 16:25
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.43%E -1.55%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 16:24
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.43%E -1.55%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 14:01
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.62%E -3.96%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.43%E -1.55%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 15:30
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.94%E -6.53%K -24.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -4.43%E -1.55%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 13:50
Unibet (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.29%E -2.98%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 14:41
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
Hard Rock Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.62%E -3.96%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 16:24
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.62%E -3.96%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 15:38
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.62%E -3.96%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 16:39
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.62%E -3.96%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 16:40
Virgin Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.28%E -4.46%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 16:09
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.28%E -4.46%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 16:10
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.95%E -4.96%K -17.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 16:40
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -2.96%E -2.03%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -7.11%E -2.57%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 16:39
GTbets1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -2.96%E -2.03%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -7.11%E -2.57%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 15:09
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.29%E -2.98%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 06:04
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.29%E -2.98%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 16:35
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.29%E -2.98%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 16:39
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.29%E -2.98%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 17:50
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.29%E -2.98%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 18:15
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.29%E -2.98%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 18:34
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.62%E -3.96%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 13:45
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.62%E -3.96%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 16:19
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.95%E -4.96%K -17.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.95%E -4.96%K -17.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 14:00
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.95%E -4.96%K -17.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 16:09
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.95%E -4.96%K -17.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.95%E -4.96%K -17.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 14:00
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.95%E -4.96%K -17.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 14:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-04-22 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-04-22 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-04-22 16:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-04-22 16:39
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%2.2%2026-04-22 16:40
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.06%2.9%2026-04-22 16:39