La scuola delle quote

Tomas Machac v Francisco Comesana

Inizio: 2026-04-22 16:45 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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53 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Tomas Machac (Casa)

Previsione 66.47%1.50quota equa
EV -2.96%
Vantaggio -2.03%
Kelly -6.44%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.46

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.48%66.55%66.31%68.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.361.421.431.4673.53%70.31%69.93%68.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Francisco Comesana (Trasferta)

Previsione 33.53%2.98quota equa
EV +0.269%
Vantaggio +0.090%
Kelly +0.135%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.99

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.89%33.45%33.69%34.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.812.802.9936.36%35.53%35.71%33.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -6.95%E -4.96%K -17.37%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV +0.269%E +0.090%K +0.135%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 16:30
FanDuel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -6.28%E -4.46%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -0.067%E -0.022%K -0.034%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 16:30
Betclic (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.65%EV -5.62%E -3.96%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.35%EV -0.402%E -0.135%K -0.204%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 16:39
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -3.63%E -2.50%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -1.07%E -0.364%K -0.550%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-22 15:44
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -5.62%E -3.96%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -1.74%E -0.595%K -0.903%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 16:39
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -5.62%E -3.96%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -1.74%E -0.595%K -0.903%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 16:39
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.63%E -2.50%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.75%E -0.948%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-22 16:39
DraftKings1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.28%E -4.46%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.75%E -0.948%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 16:40
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -9.61%E -7.06%K -26.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -2.75%E -0.948%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 16:40
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.95%E -4.96%K -17.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.42%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 16:25
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.43%E -1.55%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 16:24
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.43%E -1.55%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 14:01
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.62%E -3.96%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.43%E -1.55%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 15:30
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.94%E -6.53%K -24.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -4.43%E -1.55%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 13:50
Unibet (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.29%E -2.98%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 14:41
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
Hard Rock Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 16:39
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.62%E -3.96%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 16:24
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.62%E -3.96%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 15:38
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.62%E -3.96%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 16:39
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.62%E -3.96%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 16:40
Virgin Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.28%E -4.46%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 16:09
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.28%E -4.46%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 16:10
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.95%E -4.96%K -17.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 16:40
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -2.96%E -2.03%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -7.11%E -2.57%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 16:39
GTbets1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -2.96%E -2.03%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -7.11%E -2.57%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 15:09
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.29%E -2.98%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 06:04
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.29%E -2.98%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 16:35
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.29%E -2.98%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 16:39
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.29%E -2.98%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 17:50
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.29%E -2.98%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 18:15
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.29%E -2.98%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 18:34
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.62%E -3.96%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 13:45
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.62%E -3.96%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 16:19
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.95%E -4.96%K -17.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.95%E -4.96%K -17.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 14:00
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.95%E -4.96%K -17.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 16:09
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.95%E -4.96%K -17.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.95%E -4.96%K -17.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 14:00
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.95%E -4.96%K -17.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 14:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-04-22 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-04-22 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-04-22 16:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-04-22 16:39
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%2.2%2026-04-22 16:40
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.06%2.9%2026-04-22 16:39