StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Sebastian Ofner v Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Matchstart: 2026-04-24 13:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

58 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Sebastian Ofner (Hemma)

Prognos 41.44%2.41rättvist odds
EV +0.698%
Fördel +0.287%
Kelly +0.488%
Tillväxt +0.003%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.43

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
39.10%41.34%41.33%43.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.202.282.282.4345.45%43.88%43.86%41.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Borta)

Prognos 58.56%1.71rättvist odds
EV -1.03%
Fördel -0.611%
Kelly -1.50%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.69

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
56.85%58.66%58.67%60.90%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.561.621.631.6964.10%61.57%61.35%59.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Sebastian Ofner (Hemma): 41.44%; Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Borta): 58.56%. För Sebastian Ofner (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.41. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.43, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.698%.

Spelbolagsodds (58 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Betclic (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +0.698%E +0.287%K +0.488%G +0.003%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.65%E -5.54%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 15:53
GTbets🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -1.37%E -0.577%K -0.996%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -6.89%E -4.33%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 19:30
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.37%E -0.577%K -0.996%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.06%E -5.13%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 10:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.62%E -1.11%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.96%E -2.41%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 21:24
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.62%E -1.11%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 19:39
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -2.62%E -1.11%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.65%E -5.54%K -15.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 11:03
1xBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -3.03%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 01:55
Coolbet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 19:40
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -4.28%E -1.85%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -1.62%E -0.963%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-24 03:40
Betsson🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.28%E -1.85%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:25
NordicBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.28%E -1.85%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:25
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 01:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 21:25
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:34
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 19:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 19:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 19:35
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 21:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.89%E -4.33%K -11.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 19:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -5.10%E -2.23%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 03:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:35
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:35
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:34
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:34
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:34
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:34
LeoVegas🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:34
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:34
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:35
DraftKings🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -5.93%E -2.61%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -3.37%E -2.05%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 20:40
Bet Right🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -6.35%E -2.81%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -3.96%E -2.41%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 23:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.03%E -0.611%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 23:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.03%E -0.611%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 23:15
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 19:50
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.37%E -2.05%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 19:44
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.37%E -2.05%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 20:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 00:04
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 19:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 19:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.47%E -4.73%K -12.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 21:09
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.47%E -4.73%K -12.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 21:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.06%E -5.13%K -14.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 21:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.06%E -5.13%K -14.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 21:09
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.06%E -5.13%K -14.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 21:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.59%E -3.40%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 19:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.59%E -3.40%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 19:35
SportsBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -8.00%E -3.61%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 19:40
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.83%E -4.02%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 19:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.83%E -4.02%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.37%E -2.05%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 19:34
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.83%E -4.02%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 19:29
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.83%E -4.02%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 03:09
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.83%E -4.02%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 19:38
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-04-24 03:45
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-04-24 03:45
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-04-24 03:35
Novig2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%2.4%2026-04-24 03:45