مدرسة الاحتمالات

Sebastian Ofner v Tomas Martin Etcheverry

البداية: 2026-04-24 13:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Sebastian Ofner (المضيف)

التنبؤ 41.44%2.41السعر العادل
EV +0.698%
الأفضلية +0.287%
Kelly +0.488%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.43

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.10%41.34%41.33%43.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.282.282.4345.45%43.88%43.86%41.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (الضيف)

التنبؤ 58.56%1.71السعر العادل
EV -1.03%
الأفضلية -0.611%
Kelly -1.50%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.69

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.85%58.66%58.67%60.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.561.621.631.6964.10%61.57%61.35%59.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Betclic (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +0.698%E +0.287%K +0.488%G +0.003%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.65%E -5.54%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 15:53
GTbets2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -1.37%E -0.577%K -0.996%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -6.89%E -4.33%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 19:30
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.37%E -0.577%K -0.996%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.06%E -5.13%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 10:10
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.62%E -1.11%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.96%E -2.41%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 21:24
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.62%E -1.11%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 19:39
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -2.62%E -1.11%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.65%E -5.54%K -15.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 11:03
1xBet2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -3.03%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 01:55
Coolbet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 19:40
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -4.28%E -1.85%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -1.62%E -0.963%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-24 03:40
Betsson2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.28%E -1.85%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:25
NordicBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.28%E -1.85%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:25
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 01:04
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:35
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 21:25
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:34
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 19:34
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 19:34
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 19:35
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 21:10
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.89%E -4.33%K -11.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 19:35
Unibet (UK)2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -5.10%E -2.23%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 03:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:35
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:35
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:35
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:34
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:34
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:34
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:34
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:34
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:35
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:34
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:34
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:35
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:35
DraftKings2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -5.93%E -2.61%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -3.37%E -2.05%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 20:40
Bet Right2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -6.35%E -2.81%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -3.96%E -2.41%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 23:55
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.03%E -0.611%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 23:14
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.03%E -0.611%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 23:15
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 19:50
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.37%E -2.05%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 19:44
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.37%E -2.05%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 20:10
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 00:04
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 19:45
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 19:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.47%E -4.73%K -12.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 21:09
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.47%E -4.73%K -12.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 21:09
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.06%E -5.13%K -14.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 21:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.06%E -5.13%K -14.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 21:09
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.06%E -5.13%K -14.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 21:10
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.59%E -3.40%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 19:34
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.59%E -3.40%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 19:35
SportsBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -8.00%E -3.61%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 19:40
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.83%E -4.02%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 19:39
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.83%E -4.02%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.37%E -2.05%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 19:34
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.83%E -4.02%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 19:29
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.83%E -4.02%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 03:09
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.83%E -4.02%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 19:38
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-04-24 03:45
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-04-24 03:45
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-04-24 03:35
Novig2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%2.4%2026-04-24 03:45