A Escola das Odds

Sebastian Ofner v Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Início: 2026-04-24 13:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Sebastian Ofner (Local)

Previsão 41.44%2.41odd justa
EV +0.698%
Vantagem +0.287%
Kelly +0.488%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.10%41.34%41.33%43.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.202.282.282.4345.45%43.88%43.86%41.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visitante)

Previsão 58.56%1.71odd justa
EV -1.03%
Vantagem -0.611%
Kelly -1.50%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.85%58.66%58.67%60.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.561.621.631.6964.10%61.57%61.35%59.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Betclic (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +0.698%E +0.287%K +0.488%G +0.003%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.65%E -5.54%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 15:53
GTbets2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -1.37%E -0.577%K -0.996%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -6.89%E -4.33%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 19:30
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.37%E -0.577%K -0.996%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.06%E -5.13%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 10:10
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.62%E -1.11%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.96%E -2.41%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 21:24
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.62%E -1.11%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 19:39
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -2.62%E -1.11%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.65%E -5.54%K -15.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 11:03
1xBet2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -3.03%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 01:55
Coolbet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 19:40
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -4.28%E -1.85%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -1.62%E -0.963%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-24 03:40
Betsson2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.28%E -1.85%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:25
NordicBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.28%E -1.85%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:25
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 01:04
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:35
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 21:25
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:34
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 19:34
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 19:34
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 19:35
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 21:10
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.89%E -4.33%K -11.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 19:35
Unibet (UK)2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -5.10%E -2.23%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 03:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:35
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:35
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:35
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:34
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:34
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:34
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:34
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:34
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:35
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:34
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:34
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:35
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:35
DraftKings2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -5.93%E -2.61%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -3.37%E -2.05%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 20:40
Bet Right2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -6.35%E -2.81%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -3.96%E -2.41%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 23:55
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.03%E -0.611%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 23:14
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.03%E -0.611%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 23:15
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 19:50
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.37%E -2.05%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 19:44
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.37%E -2.05%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 20:10
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 00:04
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 19:45
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 19:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.47%E -4.73%K -12.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 21:09
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.47%E -4.73%K -12.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 21:09
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.06%E -5.13%K -14.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 21:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.06%E -5.13%K -14.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 21:09
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.06%E -5.13%K -14.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 21:10
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.59%E -3.40%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 19:34
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.59%E -3.40%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 19:35
SportsBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -8.00%E -3.61%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 19:40
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.83%E -4.02%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 19:39
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.83%E -4.02%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.37%E -2.05%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 19:34
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.83%E -4.02%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 19:29
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.83%E -4.02%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 03:09
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.83%E -4.02%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 19:38
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-04-24 03:45
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-04-24 03:45
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-04-24 03:35
Novig2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%2.4%2026-04-24 03:45