Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Sebastian Ofner v Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Sebastian Ofner (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 41.44%2.41kurs godziwy
EV +0.698%
Przewaga +0.287%
Kelly +0.488%
Wzrost +0.003%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.43
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
39.10%41.34%41.33%43.15%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.202.282.282.4345.45%43.88%43.86%41.15%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Goście)
Prognoza 58.56%1.71kurs godziwy
EV -1.03%
Przewaga -0.611%
Kelly -1.50%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.69
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
56.85%58.66%58.67%60.90%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.561.621.631.6964.10%61.57%61.35%59.17%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (58 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +0.698%E +0.287%K +0.488%G +0.003% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.65%E -5.54%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 15:53 |
| GTbets | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -1.37%E -0.577%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -6.89%E -4.33%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.37%E -0.577%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.06%E -5.13%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 10:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.62%E -1.11%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.96%E -2.41%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| Fanatics | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.62%E -1.11%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 19:39 |
| Caesars | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -2.62%E -1.11%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.65%E -5.54%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 11:03 |
| 1xBet | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -3.03%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 01:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 19:40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -4.28%E -1.85%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -1.62%E -0.963%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Betsson | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.28%E -1.85%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| NordicBet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.28%E -1.85%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| theScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-24 01:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 19:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 19:34 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 19:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 19:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 19:35 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 21:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.89%E -4.33%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 19:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -5.10%E -2.23%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 19:35 |
| TABtouch | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 19:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 19:35 |
| Grosvenor | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 19:34 |
| Casumo | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 19:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 19:34 |
| Unibet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 19:34 |
| BetRivers | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 19:34 |
| LeoVegas | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 19:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 19:34 |
| betPARX | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 19:34 |
| Bally Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 19:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 19:35 |
| DraftKings | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -5.93%E -2.61%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -3.37%E -2.05%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 20:40 |
| Bet Right | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -6.35%E -2.81%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -3.96%E -2.41%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 23:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.03%E -0.611%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-23 23:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.03%E -0.611%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-23 23:15 |
| FanDuel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 19:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 19:50 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.37%E -2.05%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 19:44 |
| BetUS | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.37%E -2.05%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-24 00:04 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 19:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 19:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.47%E -4.73%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 21:09 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.47%E -4.73%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 21:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.06%E -5.13%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.06%E -5.13%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 21:09 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.06%E -5.13%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 21:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.59%E -3.40%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 19:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.59%E -3.40%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 19:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -8.00%E -3.61%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 19:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.83%E -4.02%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 19:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.83%E -4.02%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.37%E -2.05%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 19:34 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.83%E -4.02%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.83%E -4.02%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.83%E -4.02%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 19:38 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Matchbook | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Smarkets | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 1.9% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Novig | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46% | 2.4% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |