Die Wettquotenschule

Sebastian Ofner v Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-24 13:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

58 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Sebastian Ofner (Heim)

Prognose 41.44%2.41faire Quote
EV +0.698%
Vorteil +0.287%
Kelly +0.488%
Wachstum +0.003%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.43

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
39.10%41.34%41.33%43.15%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.202.282.282.4345.45%43.88%43.86%41.15%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Auswärts)

Prognose 58.56%1.71faire Quote
EV -1.03%
Vorteil -0.611%
Kelly -1.50%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.69

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
56.85%58.66%58.67%60.90%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.561.621.631.6964.10%61.57%61.35%59.17%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (58 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Betclic (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +0.698%E +0.287%K +0.488%G +0.003%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.65%E -5.54%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 15:53
GTbets2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -1.37%E -0.577%K -0.996%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -6.89%E -4.33%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 19:30
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.37%E -0.577%K -0.996%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.06%E -5.13%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 10:10
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.62%E -1.11%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.96%E -2.41%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 21:24
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.62%E -1.11%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 19:39
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -2.62%E -1.11%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.65%E -5.54%K -15.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 11:03
1xBet2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -3.03%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 01:55
Coolbet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 19:40
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -4.28%E -1.85%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -1.62%E -0.963%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-24 03:40
Betsson2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.28%E -1.85%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:25
NordicBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.28%E -1.85%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:25
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 01:04
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:35
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 21:25
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:34
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 19:34
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 19:34
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 19:35
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 21:10
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.89%E -4.33%K -11.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 19:35
Unibet (UK)2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -5.10%E -2.23%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 03:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:35
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:35
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:35
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:34
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:34
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:34
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:34
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:34
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:35
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:34
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:34
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:35
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:35
DraftKings2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -5.93%E -2.61%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -3.37%E -2.05%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 20:40
Bet Right2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -6.35%E -2.81%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -3.96%E -2.41%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 23:55
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.03%E -0.611%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 23:14
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.03%E -0.611%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 23:15
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 19:50
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.37%E -2.05%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 19:44
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.37%E -2.05%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 20:10
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 00:04
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 19:45
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 19:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.47%E -4.73%K -12.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 21:09
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.47%E -4.73%K -12.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 21:09
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.06%E -5.13%K -14.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 21:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.06%E -5.13%K -14.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 21:09
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.06%E -5.13%K -14.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 21:10
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.59%E -3.40%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 19:34
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.59%E -3.40%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 19:35
SportsBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -8.00%E -3.61%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 19:40
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.83%E -4.02%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 19:39
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.83%E -4.02%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.37%E -2.05%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 19:34
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.83%E -4.02%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 19:29
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.83%E -4.02%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 03:09
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.83%E -4.02%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 19:38
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-04-24 03:45
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-04-24 03:45
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-04-24 03:35
Novig2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%2.4%2026-04-24 03:45