The School of Odds

Pablo Carreno Busta v Marton Fucsovics

Matchstart: 2026-04-23 10:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

57 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Pablo Carreno Busta (Hemma)

Prognos 55.41%1.80rättvist odds
EV +10.81%
Fördel +5.41%
Kelly +10.81%
Tillväxt +1.17%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
46.38%55.21%55.55%59.43%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.571.771.782.0063.69%56.56%56.18%50.00%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Marton Fucsovics (Borta)

Prognos 44.59%2.24rättvist odds
EV +2.56%
Fördel +1.11%
Kelly +1.97%
Tillväxt +0.051%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
40.57%44.79%44.45%53.62%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.732.012.002.3057.80%49.66%50.00%43.48%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (57 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +10.81%E +5.41%K +10.81%G +1.17%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -18.40%E -10.05%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 09:20
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +10.81%E +5.41%K +10.81%G +1.17%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -22.85%E -13.21%K -31.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 09:20
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +5.83%E +3.05%K +6.40%G +0.373%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -14.83%E -7.76%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 09:07
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +5.83%E +3.05%K +6.40%G +0.373%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -14.83%E -7.76%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 09:07
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +3.61%E +1.93%K +4.15%G +0.150%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -13.94%E -7.22%K -14.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:20
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +3.61%E +1.93%K +4.15%G +0.150%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -13.94%E -7.22%K -14.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:20
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +3.61%E +1.93%K +4.15%G +0.150%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -13.94%E -7.22%K -14.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:20
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +3.61%E +1.93%K +4.15%G +0.150%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -13.94%E -7.22%K -14.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:20
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +3.61%E +1.93%K +4.15%G +0.150%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -13.94%E -7.22%K -14.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:20
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV +2.50%E +1.35%K +2.95%G +0.074%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -14.83%E -7.76%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 09:20
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV +1.95%E +1.06%K +2.32%G +0.045%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -13.49%E -6.95%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:09
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV +1.95%E +1.06%K +2.32%G +0.045%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -15.27%E -8.04%K -16.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:20
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV +1.40%E +0.763%K +1.68%G +0.023%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -11.71%E -5.91%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:07
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV +1.40%E +0.763%K +1.68%G +0.023%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -12.15%E -6.17%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:10
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV +1.40%E +0.763%K +1.68%G +0.023%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -15.72%E -8.32%K -17.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 09:20
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV +0.841%E +0.462%K +1.03%G +0.009%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -7.25%E -3.48%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 09:20
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +0.841%E +0.462%K +1.03%G +0.009%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -9.92%E -4.91%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 09:12
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +0.841%E +0.462%K +1.03%G +0.009%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -9.92%E -4.91%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 09:12
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV +0.841%E +0.462%K +1.03%G +0.009%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -13.04%E -6.69%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 09:08
BetUS1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV +0.841%E +0.462%K +1.03%G +0.009%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -13.94%E -7.22%K -14.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 09:12
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV +0.287%E +0.159%K +0.355%G +0.001%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%EV -16.61%E -8.88%K -19.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 09:20
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.267%E -0.148%K -0.333%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 09:20
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.267%E -0.148%K -0.333%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 09:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.267%E -0.148%K -0.333%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 09:20
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.267%E -0.148%K -0.333%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 09:19
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -0.267%E -0.148%K -0.333%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -14.83%E -7.76%K -16.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 09:17
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -0.267%E -0.148%K -0.333%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -14.83%E -7.76%K -16.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 09:20
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -0.821%E -0.459%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -12.15%E -6.17%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 09:20
PlayUp1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -1.37%E -0.772%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 09:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -1.37%E -0.772%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -13.04%E -6.69%K -13.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:08
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -1.37%E -0.772%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -13.04%E -6.69%K -13.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:08
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -1.93%E -1.09%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -12.15%E -6.17%K -12.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 09:20
PMU (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 50.83%EV -1.93%E -1.09%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.17%EV -18.40%E -10.05%K -22.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 09:20
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 09:19
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 52.57%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.43%EV -13.49%E -6.95%K -14.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 09:20
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -4.15%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -7.69%E -3.72%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 09:12
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.15%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 09:18
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.15%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 09:20
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.15%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 09:20
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 09:19
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.90%E -0.862%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 09:17
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.23%E -1.49%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 09:20
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:20
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:20
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 09:18
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 09:20
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.47%E -4.47%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 09:20
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.47%E -4.47%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:18
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -8.02%E -4.83%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 09:16
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.58%E -5.20%K -13.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +0.333%E +0.148%K +0.267%G +0.001%5.1%2026-04-23 09:20
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -8.58%E -5.20%K -13.20%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -1.45%E -0.656%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.58%E -5.20%K -13.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 09:20
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -10.24%E -6.32%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.75%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 09:20
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -11.35%E -7.09%K -18.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -1.90%E -0.862%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 09:20
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -12.46%E -7.88%K -21.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 09:19
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -13.01%E -8.29%K -22.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +2.56%E +1.11%K +1.97%G +0.051%7.2%2026-04-23 09:20
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -13.01%E -8.29%K -22.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -1.90%E -0.862%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 09:18
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%0.3%2026-04-23 09:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-04-23 09:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-04-23 09:20
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-04-23 09:20
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-04-23 09:20
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%8.2%2026-04-23 09:20