Школа коэффициентов

Pablo Carreno Busta v Marton Fucsovics

Начало: 2026-04-23 10:00 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

57 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Pablo Carreno Busta (Хозяева)

Прогноз 55.41%1.80справедливый коэффициент
EV +10.81%
Преимущество +5.41%
Kelly +10.81%
Рост +1.17%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
46.38%55.21%55.55%59.43%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.571.771.782.0063.69%56.56%56.18%50.00%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Marton Fucsovics (Гости)

Прогноз 44.59%2.24справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.56%
Преимущество +1.11%
Kelly +1.97%
Рост +0.051%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.30

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
40.57%44.79%44.45%53.62%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.732.012.002.3057.80%49.66%50.00%43.48%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (57 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +10.81%E +5.41%K +10.81%G +1.17%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -18.40%E -10.05%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 09:20
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +10.81%E +5.41%K +10.81%G +1.17%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -22.85%E -13.21%K -31.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 09:20
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +5.83%E +3.05%K +6.40%G +0.373%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -14.83%E -7.76%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 09:07
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +5.83%E +3.05%K +6.40%G +0.373%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -14.83%E -7.76%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 09:07
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +3.61%E +1.93%K +4.15%G +0.150%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -13.94%E -7.22%K -14.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:20
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +3.61%E +1.93%K +4.15%G +0.150%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -13.94%E -7.22%K -14.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:20
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +3.61%E +1.93%K +4.15%G +0.150%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -13.94%E -7.22%K -14.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:20
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +3.61%E +1.93%K +4.15%G +0.150%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -13.94%E -7.22%K -14.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:20
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +3.61%E +1.93%K +4.15%G +0.150%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -13.94%E -7.22%K -14.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:20
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV +2.50%E +1.35%K +2.95%G +0.074%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -14.83%E -7.76%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 09:20
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV +1.95%E +1.06%K +2.32%G +0.045%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -13.49%E -6.95%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:09
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV +1.95%E +1.06%K +2.32%G +0.045%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -15.27%E -8.04%K -16.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:20
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV +1.40%E +0.763%K +1.68%G +0.023%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -11.71%E -5.91%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:07
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV +1.40%E +0.763%K +1.68%G +0.023%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -12.15%E -6.17%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:10
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV +1.40%E +0.763%K +1.68%G +0.023%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -15.72%E -8.32%K -17.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 09:20
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV +0.841%E +0.462%K +1.03%G +0.009%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -7.25%E -3.48%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 09:20
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +0.841%E +0.462%K +1.03%G +0.009%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -9.92%E -4.91%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 09:12
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +0.841%E +0.462%K +1.03%G +0.009%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -9.92%E -4.91%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 09:12
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV +0.841%E +0.462%K +1.03%G +0.009%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -13.04%E -6.69%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 09:08
BetUS1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV +0.841%E +0.462%K +1.03%G +0.009%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -13.94%E -7.22%K -14.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 09:12
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV +0.287%E +0.159%K +0.355%G +0.001%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%EV -16.61%E -8.88%K -19.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 09:20
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.267%E -0.148%K -0.333%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 09:20
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.267%E -0.148%K -0.333%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 09:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.267%E -0.148%K -0.333%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 09:20
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.267%E -0.148%K -0.333%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 09:19
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -0.267%E -0.148%K -0.333%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -14.83%E -7.76%K -16.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 09:17
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -0.267%E -0.148%K -0.333%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -14.83%E -7.76%K -16.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 09:20
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -0.821%E -0.459%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -12.15%E -6.17%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 09:20
PlayUp1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -1.37%E -0.772%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 09:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -1.37%E -0.772%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -13.04%E -6.69%K -13.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:08
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -1.37%E -0.772%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -13.04%E -6.69%K -13.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:08
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -1.93%E -1.09%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -12.15%E -6.17%K -12.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 09:20
PMU (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 50.83%EV -1.93%E -1.09%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.17%EV -18.40%E -10.05%K -22.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 09:20
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 09:19
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 52.57%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.43%EV -13.49%E -6.95%K -14.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 09:20
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -4.15%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -7.69%E -3.72%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 09:12
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.15%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 09:18
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.15%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 09:20
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.15%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 09:20
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 09:19
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.90%E -0.862%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 09:17
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.23%E -1.49%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 09:20
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:20
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:20
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 09:18
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 09:20
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.47%E -4.47%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 09:20
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.47%E -4.47%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:18
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -8.02%E -4.83%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 09:16
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.58%E -5.20%K -13.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +0.333%E +0.148%K +0.267%G +0.001%5.1%2026-04-23 09:20
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -8.58%E -5.20%K -13.20%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -1.45%E -0.656%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.58%E -5.20%K -13.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 09:20
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -10.24%E -6.32%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.75%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 09:20
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -11.35%E -7.09%K -18.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -1.90%E -0.862%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 09:20
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -12.46%E -7.88%K -21.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 09:19
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -13.01%E -8.29%K -22.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +2.56%E +1.11%K +1.97%G +0.051%7.2%2026-04-23 09:20
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -13.01%E -8.29%K -22.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -1.90%E -0.862%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 09:18
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%0.3%2026-04-23 09:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-04-23 09:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-04-23 09:20
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-04-23 09:20
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-04-23 09:20
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%8.2%2026-04-23 09:20