L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Pablo Carreno Busta v Marton Fucsovics
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Pablo Carreno Busta (Local)
Prévision 55.41%1.80cote équitable
EV +10.81%
Avantage +5.41%
Kelly +10.81%
Croissance +1.17%
avec la cote maximale 2.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.38%55.21%55.55%59.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.771.782.0063.69%56.56%56.18%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Marton Fucsovics (Visiteur)
Prévision 44.59%2.24cote équitable
EV +2.56%
Avantage +1.11%
Kelly +1.97%
Croissance +0.051%
avec la cote maximale 2.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.57%44.79%44.45%53.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.732.012.002.3057.80%49.66%50.00%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +10.81%E +5.41%K +10.81%G +1.17% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -18.40%E -10.05%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +10.81%E +5.41%K +10.81%G +1.17% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -22.85%E -13.21%K -31.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +5.83%E +3.05%K +6.40%G +0.373% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -14.83%E -7.76%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 09:07 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +5.83%E +3.05%K +6.40%G +0.373% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -14.83%E -7.76%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 09:07 |
| Casumo | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +3.61%E +1.93%K +4.15%G +0.150% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -13.94%E -7.22%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +3.61%E +1.93%K +4.15%G +0.150% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -13.94%E -7.22%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| betPARX | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +3.61%E +1.93%K +4.15%G +0.150% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -13.94%E -7.22%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +3.61%E +1.93%K +4.15%G +0.150% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -13.94%E -7.22%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +3.61%E +1.93%K +4.15%G +0.150% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -13.94%E -7.22%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV +2.50%E +1.35%K +2.95%G +0.074% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -14.83%E -7.76%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV +1.95%E +1.06%K +2.32%G +0.045% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -13.49%E -6.95%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 09:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV +1.95%E +1.06%K +2.32%G +0.045% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -15.27%E -8.04%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV +1.40%E +0.763%K +1.68%G +0.023% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -11.71%E -5.91%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 09:07 |
| Bally Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV +1.40%E +0.763%K +1.68%G +0.023% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -12.15%E -6.17%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 09:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV +1.40%E +0.763%K +1.68%G +0.023% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -15.72%E -8.32%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV +0.841%E +0.462%K +1.03%G +0.009% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -7.25%E -3.48%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +0.841%E +0.462%K +1.03%G +0.009% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -9.92%E -4.91%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-23 09:12 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +0.841%E +0.462%K +1.03%G +0.009% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -9.92%E -4.91%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-23 09:12 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV +0.841%E +0.462%K +1.03%G +0.009% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -13.04%E -6.69%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 09:08 |
| BetUS | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV +0.841%E +0.462%K +1.03%G +0.009% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -13.94%E -7.22%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 09:12 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV +0.287%E +0.159%K +0.355%G +0.001% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%EV -16.61%E -8.88%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Unibet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.267%E -0.148%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.267%E -0.148%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.267%E -0.148%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.267%E -0.148%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 09:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -0.267%E -0.148%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -14.83%E -7.76%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 09:17 |
| Fliff | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -0.267%E -0.148%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -14.83%E -7.76%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -0.821%E -0.459%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -12.15%E -6.17%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -1.37%E -0.772%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -1.37%E -0.772%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -13.04%E -6.69%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 09:08 |
| Neds | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -1.37%E -0.772%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -13.04%E -6.69%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 09:08 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -1.93%E -1.09%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -12.15%E -6.17%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.83%EV -1.93%E -1.09%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.17%EV -18.40%E -10.05%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 09:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.57%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.43%EV -13.49%E -6.95%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -4.15%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -7.69%E -3.72%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 09:12 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.15%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 09:18 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.15%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.15%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Caesars | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 09:19 |
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.90%E -0.862%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 09:17 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.23%E -1.49%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Betsson | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| TAB | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 09:18 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.47%E -4.47%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.47%E -4.47%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 09:18 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -8.02%E -4.83%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 09:16 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.58%E -5.20%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +0.333%E +0.148%K +0.267%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -8.58%E -5.20%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -1.45%E -0.656%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.58%E -5.20%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -10.24%E -6.32%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.75%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -11.35%E -7.09%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -1.90%E -0.862%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -12.46%E -7.88%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-23 09:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -13.01%E -8.29%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +2.56%E +1.11%K +1.97%G +0.051% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -13.01%E -8.29%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -1.90%E -0.862%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 09:18 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50% | 0.3% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87% | 0.3% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87% | 0.3% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Matchbook | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 1.1% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Novig | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |