مدرسة الاحتمالاتاللغة:العربية
Pablo Carreno Busta v Marton Fucsovics
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Pablo Carreno Busta (المضيف)
التنبؤ 55.41%1.80السعر العادل
EV +10.81%
الأفضلية +5.41%
Kelly +10.81%
النمو +1.17%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.00
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.38%55.21%55.55%59.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.571.771.782.0063.69%56.56%56.18%50.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Marton Fucsovics (الضيف)
التنبؤ 44.59%2.24السعر العادل
EV +2.56%
الأفضلية +1.11%
Kelly +1.97%
النمو +0.051%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.30
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.57%44.79%44.45%53.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.732.012.002.3057.80%49.66%50.00%43.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +10.81%E +5.41%K +10.81%G +1.17% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -18.40%E -10.05%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +10.81%E +5.41%K +10.81%G +1.17% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -22.85%E -13.21%K -31.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +5.83%E +3.05%K +6.40%G +0.373% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -14.83%E -7.76%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 09:07 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +5.83%E +3.05%K +6.40%G +0.373% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -14.83%E -7.76%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 09:07 |
| Casumo | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +3.61%E +1.93%K +4.15%G +0.150% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -13.94%E -7.22%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +3.61%E +1.93%K +4.15%G +0.150% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -13.94%E -7.22%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| betPARX | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +3.61%E +1.93%K +4.15%G +0.150% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -13.94%E -7.22%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +3.61%E +1.93%K +4.15%G +0.150% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -13.94%E -7.22%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +3.61%E +1.93%K +4.15%G +0.150% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -13.94%E -7.22%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV +2.50%E +1.35%K +2.95%G +0.074% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -14.83%E -7.76%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV +1.95%E +1.06%K +2.32%G +0.045% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -13.49%E -6.95%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 09:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV +1.95%E +1.06%K +2.32%G +0.045% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -15.27%E -8.04%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV +1.40%E +0.763%K +1.68%G +0.023% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -11.71%E -5.91%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 09:07 |
| Bally Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV +1.40%E +0.763%K +1.68%G +0.023% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -12.15%E -6.17%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 09:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV +1.40%E +0.763%K +1.68%G +0.023% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -15.72%E -8.32%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV +0.841%E +0.462%K +1.03%G +0.009% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -7.25%E -3.48%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +0.841%E +0.462%K +1.03%G +0.009% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -9.92%E -4.91%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-23 09:12 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +0.841%E +0.462%K +1.03%G +0.009% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -9.92%E -4.91%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-23 09:12 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV +0.841%E +0.462%K +1.03%G +0.009% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -13.04%E -6.69%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 09:08 |
| BetUS | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV +0.841%E +0.462%K +1.03%G +0.009% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -13.94%E -7.22%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 09:12 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV +0.287%E +0.159%K +0.355%G +0.001% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%EV -16.61%E -8.88%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Unibet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.267%E -0.148%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.267%E -0.148%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.267%E -0.148%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.267%E -0.148%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 09:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -0.267%E -0.148%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -14.83%E -7.76%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 09:17 |
| Fliff | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -0.267%E -0.148%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -14.83%E -7.76%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -0.821%E -0.459%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -12.15%E -6.17%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -1.37%E -0.772%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -1.37%E -0.772%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -13.04%E -6.69%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 09:08 |
| Neds | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -1.37%E -0.772%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -13.04%E -6.69%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 09:08 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -1.93%E -1.09%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -12.15%E -6.17%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.83%EV -1.93%E -1.09%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.17%EV -18.40%E -10.05%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 09:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.57%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.43%EV -13.49%E -6.95%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -4.15%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -7.69%E -3.72%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 09:12 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.15%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 09:18 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.15%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.15%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Caesars | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 09:19 |
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.90%E -0.862%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 09:17 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.23%E -1.49%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Betsson | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| TAB | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 09:18 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.47%E -4.47%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.47%E -4.47%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 09:18 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -8.02%E -4.83%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 09:16 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.58%E -5.20%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +0.333%E +0.148%K +0.267%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -8.58%E -5.20%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -1.45%E -0.656%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.58%E -5.20%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -10.24%E -6.32%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.75%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -11.35%E -7.09%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -1.90%E -0.862%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -12.46%E -7.88%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-23 09:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -13.01%E -8.29%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +2.56%E +1.11%K +1.97%G +0.051% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -13.01%E -8.29%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -1.90%E -0.862%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 09:18 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (6)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50% | 0.3% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87% | 0.3% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87% | 0.3% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Matchbook | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 1.1% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Novig | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |