La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Pablo Carreno Busta v Marton Fucsovics
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Pablo Carreno Busta (Casa)
Previsione 55.41%1.80quota equa
EV +10.81%
Vantaggio +5.41%
Kelly +10.81%
Crescita +1.17%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.38%55.21%55.55%59.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.571.771.782.0063.69%56.56%56.18%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Marton Fucsovics (Trasferta)
Previsione 44.59%2.24quota equa
EV +2.56%
Vantaggio +1.11%
Kelly +1.97%
Crescita +0.051%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.57%44.79%44.45%53.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.732.012.002.3057.80%49.66%50.00%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +10.81%E +5.41%K +10.81%G +1.17% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -18.40%E -10.05%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +10.81%E +5.41%K +10.81%G +1.17% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -22.85%E -13.21%K -31.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +5.83%E +3.05%K +6.40%G +0.373% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -14.83%E -7.76%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 09:07 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +5.83%E +3.05%K +6.40%G +0.373% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -14.83%E -7.76%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 09:07 |
| Casumo | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +3.61%E +1.93%K +4.15%G +0.150% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -13.94%E -7.22%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +3.61%E +1.93%K +4.15%G +0.150% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -13.94%E -7.22%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| betPARX | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +3.61%E +1.93%K +4.15%G +0.150% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -13.94%E -7.22%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +3.61%E +1.93%K +4.15%G +0.150% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -13.94%E -7.22%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +3.61%E +1.93%K +4.15%G +0.150% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -13.94%E -7.22%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV +2.50%E +1.35%K +2.95%G +0.074% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -14.83%E -7.76%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV +1.95%E +1.06%K +2.32%G +0.045% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -13.49%E -6.95%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 09:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV +1.95%E +1.06%K +2.32%G +0.045% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -15.27%E -8.04%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV +1.40%E +0.763%K +1.68%G +0.023% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -11.71%E -5.91%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 09:07 |
| Bally Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV +1.40%E +0.763%K +1.68%G +0.023% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -12.15%E -6.17%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 09:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV +1.40%E +0.763%K +1.68%G +0.023% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -15.72%E -8.32%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV +0.841%E +0.462%K +1.03%G +0.009% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -7.25%E -3.48%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +0.841%E +0.462%K +1.03%G +0.009% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -9.92%E -4.91%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-23 09:12 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +0.841%E +0.462%K +1.03%G +0.009% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -9.92%E -4.91%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-23 09:12 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV +0.841%E +0.462%K +1.03%G +0.009% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -13.04%E -6.69%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 09:08 |
| BetUS | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV +0.841%E +0.462%K +1.03%G +0.009% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -13.94%E -7.22%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 09:12 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV +0.287%E +0.159%K +0.355%G +0.001% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%EV -16.61%E -8.88%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Unibet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.267%E -0.148%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.267%E -0.148%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.267%E -0.148%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.267%E -0.148%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 09:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -0.267%E -0.148%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -14.83%E -7.76%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 09:17 |
| Fliff | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -0.267%E -0.148%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -14.83%E -7.76%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -0.821%E -0.459%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -12.15%E -6.17%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -1.37%E -0.772%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -1.37%E -0.772%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -13.04%E -6.69%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 09:08 |
| Neds | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -1.37%E -0.772%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -13.04%E -6.69%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 09:08 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -1.93%E -1.09%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -12.15%E -6.17%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.83%EV -1.93%E -1.09%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.17%EV -18.40%E -10.05%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 09:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.57%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.43%EV -13.49%E -6.95%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -4.15%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -7.69%E -3.72%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 09:12 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.15%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 09:18 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.15%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.15%E -2.40%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Caesars | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 09:19 |
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.90%E -0.862%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 09:17 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.23%E -1.49%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Betsson | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| TAB | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.81%E -3.42%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 09:18 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.47%E -4.47%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.47%E -4.47%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 09:18 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -8.02%E -4.83%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 09:16 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.58%E -5.20%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +0.333%E +0.148%K +0.267%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -8.58%E -5.20%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -1.45%E -0.656%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.58%E -5.20%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -10.24%E -6.32%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.75%EV -10.81%E -5.41%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -11.35%E -7.09%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -1.90%E -0.862%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -12.46%E -7.88%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-23 09:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -13.01%E -8.29%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +2.56%E +1.11%K +1.97%G +0.051% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -13.01%E -8.29%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -1.90%E -0.862%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 09:18 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50% | 0.3% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87% | 0.3% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87% | 0.3% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Matchbook | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 1.1% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Novig | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |