StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Gael Monfils

Matchstart: 2026-04-23 15:10 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

59 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Hemma)

Prognos 62.71%1.59rättvist odds
EV -2.80%
Fördel -1.81%
Kelly -5.09%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.55

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
61.07%62.68%62.73%65.24%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.461.511.511.5568.49%66.02%66.23%64.52%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Gael Monfils (Borta)

Prognos 37.29%2.68rättvist odds
EV +2.17%
Fördel +0.793%
Kelly +1.25%
Tillväxt +0.027%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.74

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
34.76%37.32%37.27%38.93%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.402.542.552.7441.67%39.44%39.22%36.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Hemma): 62.71%; Gael Monfils (Borta): 37.29%. För Gael Monfils (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.68. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.74, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.17%.

Spelbolagsodds (59 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -8.44%E -5.78%K -18.35%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV +2.17%E +0.793%K +1.25%G +0.027%5.0%2026-04-23 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.18%E -0.447%K -0.717%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 14:55
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.18%E -0.447%K -0.717%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 14:40
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -3.43%E -2.22%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -1.93%E -0.734%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -2.30%E -0.879%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 14:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -2.30%E -0.879%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 14:20
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.30%E -0.879%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 14:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.43%E -2.22%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 12:30
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 14:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 14:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 14:09
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 14:20
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 14:09
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 14:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 14:10
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -3.79%E -1.47%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 13:59
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -3.79%E -1.47%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 14:45
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 12:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 14:39
Unibet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 14:40
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 12:30
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 12:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 12:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:39
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
LeoVegas🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 14:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 12:30
FanDuel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 10:29
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:19
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:45
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 12:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 12:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 14:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 14:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 14:40
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 14:18
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.82%E -5.32%K -16.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 12:54
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -3.43%E -2.22%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -7.15%E -2.87%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 10:29
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 09:04
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:04
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:29
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:04
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:04
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 11:25
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 09:04
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 12:29
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-04-23 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-04-23 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-04-23 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-04-23 14:30
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-04-23 14:55
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%2.6%2026-04-23 15:00