The School of Odds

Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Gael Monfils

Matchstart: 2026-04-23 15:10 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

59 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Hemma)

Prognos 62.71%1.59rättvist odds
EV -2.80%
Fördel -1.81%
Kelly -5.09%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.55

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
61.07%62.68%62.73%65.24%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.461.511.511.5568.49%66.02%66.23%64.52%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Gael Monfils (Borta)

Prognos 37.29%2.68rättvist odds
EV +2.17%
Fördel +0.793%
Kelly +1.25%
Tillväxt +0.027%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.74

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
34.76%37.32%37.27%38.93%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.402.542.552.7441.67%39.44%39.22%36.50%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (59 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -8.44%E -5.78%K -18.35%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV +2.17%E +0.793%K +1.25%G +0.027%5.0%2026-04-23 14:00
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.18%E -0.447%K -0.717%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 14:55
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.18%E -0.447%K -0.717%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 14:40
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -3.43%E -2.22%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -1.93%E -0.734%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 14:55
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -2.30%E -0.879%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 14:20
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -2.30%E -0.879%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 14:20
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.30%E -0.879%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 14:59
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.43%E -2.22%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 12:30
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 14:09
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 14:49
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 14:09
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 14:20
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 14:09
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 14:09
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 14:10
GTbets1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -3.79%E -1.47%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 13:59
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -3.79%E -1.47%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 14:45
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 12:30
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 14:39
Unibet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 14:40
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 12:30
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 12:30
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 12:30
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:39
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 14:40
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 12:30
FanDuel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 10:29
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:19
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:45
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 12:20
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 12:30
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 14:40
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 14:40
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 14:40
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 14:18
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.82%E -5.32%K -16.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 12:54
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -3.43%E -2.22%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -7.15%E -2.87%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 10:29
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 09:04
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:04
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:29
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:04
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:04
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 11:25
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 09:04
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 12:29
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-04-23 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-04-23 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-04-23 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-04-23 14:30
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-04-23 14:55
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%2.6%2026-04-23 15:00