Lingua:Italiano
Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Gael Monfils
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Casa)
Previsione 62.71%1.59quota equa
EV -2.80%
Vantaggio -1.81%
Kelly -5.09%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.55
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.07%62.68%62.73%65.24%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.461.511.511.5568.49%66.02%66.23%64.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Gael Monfils (Trasferta)
Previsione 37.29%2.68quota equa
EV +2.17%
Vantaggio +0.793%
Kelly +1.25%
Crescita +0.027%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.74
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.76%37.32%37.27%38.93%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.542.552.7441.67%39.44%39.22%36.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Casa): 62.71%; Gael Monfils (Trasferta): 37.29%. Per Gael Monfils (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.68. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 2.74, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.17%.
Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -8.44%E -5.78%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV +2.17%E +0.793%K +1.25%G +0.027% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.18%E -0.447%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.18%E -0.447%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -3.43%E -2.22%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -1.93%E -0.734%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -2.30%E -0.879%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-23 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -2.30%E -0.879%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-23 14:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.30%E -0.879%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 14:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.43%E -2.22%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 12:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-23 14:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-23 14:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 14:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 14:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 14:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 14:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 14:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -3.79%E -1.47%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 13:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -3.79%E -1.47%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 14:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 12:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 14:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 12:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 12:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 12:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 14:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 12:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-23 10:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 09:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 12:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 12:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 12:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 12:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 14:18 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.82%E -5.32%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -3.43%E -2.22%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -7.15%E -2.87%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 10:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 10:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 11:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 12:29 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 14:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-04-23 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85% | 2.6% | 2026-04-23 15:00 |