Idioma:Español
Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Gael Monfils
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Local)
Predicción 62.71%1.59momio equitativo
EV -2.80%
Ventaja -1.81%
Kelly -5.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.07%62.68%62.73%65.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.461.511.511.5568.49%66.02%66.23%64.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Gael Monfils (Visitante)
Predicción 37.29%2.68momio equitativo
EV +2.17%
Ventaja +0.793%
Kelly +1.25%
Crecimiento +0.027%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.76%37.32%37.27%38.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.542.552.7441.67%39.44%39.22%36.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Local): 62.71%; Gael Monfils (Visitante): 37.29%. Para Gael Monfils (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.68. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.74, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.17%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -8.44%E -5.78%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV +2.17%E +0.793%K +1.25%G +0.027% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.18%E -0.447%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.18%E -0.447%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -3.43%E -2.22%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -1.93%E -0.734%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -2.30%E -0.879%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-23 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -2.30%E -0.879%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-23 14:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.30%E -0.879%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 14:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.43%E -2.22%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 12:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-23 14:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-23 14:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 14:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 14:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 14:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 14:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 14:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -3.79%E -1.47%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 13:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -3.79%E -1.47%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 14:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 12:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 14:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 12:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 12:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 12:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 14:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 12:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-23 10:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 09:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 12:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 12:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 12:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 12:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 14:18 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.82%E -5.32%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -3.43%E -2.22%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -7.15%E -2.87%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 10:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 10:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 11:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 12:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 14:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-04-23 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85% | 2.6% | 2026-04-23 15:00 |