A Escola das Odds

Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Gael Monfils

Início: 2026-04-23 15:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Local)

Previsão 62.71%1.59odd justa
EV -2.80%
Vantagem -1.81%
Kelly -5.09%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
61.07%62.68%62.73%65.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.461.511.511.5568.49%66.02%66.23%64.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Gael Monfils (Visitante)

Previsão 37.29%2.68odd justa
EV +2.17%
Vantagem +0.793%
Kelly +1.25%
Crescimento +0.027%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.76%37.32%37.27%38.93%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.402.542.552.7441.67%39.44%39.22%36.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -8.44%E -5.78%K -18.35%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV +2.17%E +0.793%K +1.25%G +0.027%5.0%2026-04-23 14:00
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.18%E -0.447%K -0.717%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 14:55
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.18%E -0.447%K -0.717%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 14:40
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -3.43%E -2.22%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -1.93%E -0.734%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 14:55
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -2.30%E -0.879%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 14:20
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -2.30%E -0.879%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 14:20
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.30%E -0.879%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 14:59
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.43%E -2.22%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 12:30
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 14:09
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 14:49
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 14:09
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 14:20
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 14:09
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 14:09
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 14:10
GTbets1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -3.79%E -1.47%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 13:59
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -3.79%E -1.47%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 14:45
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 12:30
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 14:39
Unibet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 14:40
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 12:30
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 12:30
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 12:30
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:39
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 14:40
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 12:30
FanDuel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 10:29
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:19
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:45
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 12:20
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 12:30
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 14:40
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 14:40
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 14:40
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 14:18
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.82%E -5.32%K -16.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 12:54
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -3.43%E -2.22%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -7.15%E -2.87%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 10:29
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 09:04
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:04
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:29
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:04
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:04
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 11:25
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 09:04
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 12:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-04-23 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-04-23 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-04-23 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-04-23 14:30
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-04-23 14:55
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%2.6%2026-04-23 15:00