Szkoła Kursów

Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Gael Monfils

Początek: 2026-04-23 15:10 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

59 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 62.71%1.59kurs godziwy
EV -2.80%
Przewaga -1.81%
Kelly -5.09%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.55

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
61.07%62.68%62.73%65.24%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.461.511.511.5568.49%66.02%66.23%64.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Gael Monfils (Goście)

Prognoza 37.29%2.68kurs godziwy
EV +2.17%
Przewaga +0.793%
Kelly +1.25%
Wzrost +0.027%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.74

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
34.76%37.32%37.27%38.93%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.402.542.552.7441.67%39.44%39.22%36.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (59 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -8.44%E -5.78%K -18.35%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV +2.17%E +0.793%K +1.25%G +0.027%5.0%2026-04-23 14:00
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.18%E -0.447%K -0.717%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 14:55
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.18%E -0.447%K -0.717%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 14:40
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -3.43%E -2.22%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -1.93%E -0.734%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 14:55
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -2.30%E -0.879%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 14:20
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -2.30%E -0.879%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 14:20
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.30%E -0.879%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 14:59
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.43%E -2.22%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 12:30
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 14:09
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 14:49
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 14:09
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 14:20
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 14:09
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 14:09
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 14:10
GTbets1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -3.79%E -1.47%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 13:59
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -3.79%E -1.47%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 14:45
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 12:30
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 14:39
Unibet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 14:40
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 12:30
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 12:30
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 12:30
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:39
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 14:40
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 14:40
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 12:30
FanDuel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 10:29
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:19
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:45
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 12:20
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 12:30
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 14:40
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 14:40
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 14:40
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 14:18
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.82%E -5.32%K -16.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 12:54
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -3.43%E -2.22%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -7.15%E -2.87%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 10:29
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 09:04
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:04
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:29
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:04
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:04
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 11:25
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 09:04
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 12:29
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-04-23 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-04-23 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-04-23 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-04-23 14:30
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-04-23 14:55
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%2.6%2026-04-23 15:00