语言:简体中文
Alejandro Tabilo v Valentin Royer
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Alejandro Tabilo (主队)
预测 71.20%1.40公平赔率
EV -2.46%
优势 -1.80%
Kelly -6.66%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.37
博彩公司预测分布
68.81%71.22%71.35%73.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.261.321.331.3779.37%75.52%75.19%72.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
Valentin Royer (客队)
预测 28.80%3.47公平赔率
EV +0.816%
优势 +0.233%
Kelly +0.327%
增长率 +0.003%
假设最高赔率为 3.50
博彩公司预测分布
26.93%28.78%28.65%31.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.253.253.5033.33%30.72%30.77%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Alejandro Tabilo (主队)：71.20%；Valentin Royer (客队)：28.80%。 对于“Valentin Royer (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.47。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.50，对应+0.816%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (59 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.73%E -5.14%K -21.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +0.816%E +0.233%K +0.327%G +0.003% | 4.9% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.73%E -5.14%K -21.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +0.816%E +0.233%K +0.327%G +0.003% | 4.9% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.816%E +0.233%K +0.327%G +0.003% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.816%E +0.233%K +0.327%G +0.003% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.816%E +0.233%K +0.327%G +0.003% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -8.16%E -6.32%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +0.816%E +0.233%K +0.327%G +0.003% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.82%EV -3.89%E -2.88%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.18%EV -0.912%E -0.265%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.58%E -7.54%K -35.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -2.06%E -0.607%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.89%E -2.88%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.50%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.50%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.50%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.50%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.50%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.50%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.50%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 18:31 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.91%EV -2.46%E -1.80%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 29.09%EV -3.79%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.94%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.94%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.94%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.94%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.94%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.73%E -5.14%K -21.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.94%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -9.58%E -7.54%K -35.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -4.94%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.91%EV -3.89%E -2.88%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.09%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.60%E -3.43%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -6.10%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.89%E -2.88%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 18:27 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.60%E -3.43%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.60%E -3.43%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.60%E -3.43%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.60%E -3.43%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 18:31 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -8.87%E -6.93%K -31.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-22 18:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.83%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.83%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.75%EV -10.29%E -8.17%K -39.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -7.83%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.60%E -3.43%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -9.27%E -2.94%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.27%E -2.94%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.27%E -2.94%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 18:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.71%E -3.45%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 18:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.71%E -3.45%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 18:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.60%E -3.43%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.71%E -3.45%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 18:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.71%E -3.45%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 18:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.71%E -3.45%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 18:31 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.71%E -3.45%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 18:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.71%E -3.45%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.59%E -4.53%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.59%E -4.53%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.59%E -4.53%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 18:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.59%E -4.53%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -8.87%E -6.93%K -31.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.91%EV -13.59%E -4.53%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98% | 2.1% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55% | 2.2% | 2026-04-22 18:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72% | 2.4% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.64% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.36% | 3.4% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |