Die Wettquotenschule

Alejandro Tabilo v Valentin Royer

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-22 18:40 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

59 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Alejandro Tabilo (Heim)

Prognose 71.20%1.40faire Quote
EV -2.46%
Vorteil -1.80%
Kelly -6.66%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.37

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
68.81%71.22%71.35%73.07%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.261.321.331.3779.37%75.52%75.19%72.99%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Valentin Royer (Auswärts)

Prognose 28.80%3.47faire Quote
EV +0.816%
Vorteil +0.233%
Kelly +0.327%
Wachstum +0.003%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
26.93%28.78%28.65%31.19%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.003.253.253.5033.33%30.72%30.77%28.57%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (59 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
SportsBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.73%E -5.14%K -21.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +0.816%E +0.233%K +0.327%G +0.003%4.9%2026-04-22 18:30
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.73%E -5.14%K -21.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +0.816%E +0.233%K +0.327%G +0.003%4.9%2026-04-22 18:35
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.816%E +0.233%K +0.327%G +0.003%5.5%2026-04-22 18:30
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.816%E +0.233%K +0.327%G +0.003%5.5%2026-04-22 18:35
Winamax (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.816%E +0.233%K +0.327%G +0.003%5.5%2026-04-22 18:35
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -8.16%E -6.32%K -28.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +0.816%E +0.233%K +0.327%G +0.003%6.1%2026-04-22 18:35
1xBet1.35I 74.07%NM 71.82%EV -3.89%E -2.88%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.18%EV -0.912%E -0.265%K -0.374%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-22 18:30
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.58%E -7.54%K -35.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -2.06%E -0.607%K -0.860%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 18:30
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.89%E -2.88%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.50%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-22 18:35
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.50%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 18:30
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.50%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 18:30
Casumo1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.50%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 18:30
Bally Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.50%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 18:30
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.50%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 18:30
Fanatics1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.50%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 18:31
Pinnacle1.37I 72.99%NM 70.91%EV -2.46%E -1.80%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.09%EV -3.79%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-22 18:30
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.94%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 18:30
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.94%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 18:35
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.94%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 18:35
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.94%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 18:30
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.94%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 18:35
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.73%E -5.14%K -21.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.94%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 18:30
Fliff1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -9.58%E -7.54%K -35.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -4.94%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 18:35
GTbets1.35I 74.07%NM 70.91%EV -3.89%E -2.88%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.09%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 18:30
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.60%E -3.43%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -6.10%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 18:30
LowVig.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 18:30
BetOnline.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 18:30
BetUS1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.89%E -2.88%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 18:27
Bet Right1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.60%E -3.43%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 18:30
Unibet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.60%E -3.43%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 18:35
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.60%E -3.43%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 18:35
Svenska Spel1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.60%E -3.43%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 18:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 18:35
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 18:35
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 18:31
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 18:35
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 18:35
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 18:35
Betclic (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -8.87%E -6.93%K -31.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 18:34
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.83%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 18:30
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.83%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 18:35
Winamax (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 71.75%EV -10.29%E -8.17%K -39.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -7.83%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-22 18:35
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.60%E -3.43%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -9.27%E -2.94%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.27%E -2.94%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 18:30
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.27%E -2.94%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 18:29
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.71%E -3.45%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 18:34
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.71%E -3.45%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 18:29
TAB1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.60%E -3.43%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.71%E -3.45%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 18:29
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.71%E -3.45%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 18:29
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.71%E -3.45%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 18:31
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.71%E -3.45%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 18:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.71%E -3.45%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 18:35
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.59%E -4.53%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 18:35
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.59%E -4.53%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 18:35
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.59%E -4.53%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 18:34
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.59%E -4.53%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 18:30
PMU (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -8.87%E -6.93%K -31.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.91%EV -13.59%E -4.53%K -6.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-22 18:35
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-04-22 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-04-22 18:35
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%2.1%2026-04-22 18:35
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%2.2%2026-04-22 18:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%2.4%2026-04-22 18:35
Novig1.35I 74.07%NM 71.64%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.36%3.4%2026-04-22 18:35