مدرسة الاحتمالات

Alejandro Tabilo v Valentin Royer

البداية: 2026-04-22 18:40 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Alejandro Tabilo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 71.20%1.40السعر العادل
EV -2.46%
الأفضلية -1.80%
Kelly -6.66%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.37

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
68.81%71.22%71.35%73.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.261.321.331.3779.37%75.52%75.19%72.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Valentin Royer (الضيف)

التنبؤ 28.80%3.47السعر العادل
EV +0.816%
الأفضلية +0.233%
Kelly +0.327%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.93%28.78%28.65%31.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.253.253.5033.33%30.72%30.77%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
SportsBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.73%E -5.14%K -21.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +0.816%E +0.233%K +0.327%G +0.003%4.9%2026-04-22 18:30
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.73%E -5.14%K -21.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +0.816%E +0.233%K +0.327%G +0.003%4.9%2026-04-22 18:35
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.816%E +0.233%K +0.327%G +0.003%5.5%2026-04-22 18:30
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.816%E +0.233%K +0.327%G +0.003%5.5%2026-04-22 18:35
Winamax (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.816%E +0.233%K +0.327%G +0.003%5.5%2026-04-22 18:35
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -8.16%E -6.32%K -28.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +0.816%E +0.233%K +0.327%G +0.003%6.1%2026-04-22 18:35
1xBet1.35I 74.07%NM 71.82%EV -3.89%E -2.88%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.18%EV -0.912%E -0.265%K -0.374%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-22 18:30
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.58%E -7.54%K -35.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -2.06%E -0.607%K -0.860%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 18:30
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.89%E -2.88%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.50%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-22 18:35
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.50%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 18:30
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.50%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 18:30
Casumo1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.50%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 18:30
Bally Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.50%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 18:30
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.50%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 18:30
Fanatics1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.50%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 18:31
Pinnacle1.37I 72.99%NM 70.91%EV -2.46%E -1.80%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.09%EV -3.79%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-22 18:30
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.94%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 18:30
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.94%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 18:35
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.94%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 18:35
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.94%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 18:30
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.94%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 18:35
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.73%E -5.14%K -21.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.94%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 18:30
Fliff1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -9.58%E -7.54%K -35.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -4.94%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 18:35
GTbets1.35I 74.07%NM 70.91%EV -3.89%E -2.88%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.09%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 18:30
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.60%E -3.43%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -6.10%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 18:30
LowVig.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 18:30
BetOnline.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 18:30
BetUS1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.89%E -2.88%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 18:27
Bet Right1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.60%E -3.43%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 18:30
Unibet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.60%E -3.43%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 18:35
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.60%E -3.43%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 18:35
Svenska Spel1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.60%E -3.43%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 18:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 18:35
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 18:35
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 18:31
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 18:35
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 18:35
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 18:35
Betclic (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -8.87%E -6.93%K -31.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 18:34
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.83%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 18:30
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.83%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 18:35
Winamax (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 71.75%EV -10.29%E -8.17%K -39.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -7.83%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-22 18:35
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.60%E -3.43%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -9.27%E -2.94%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.27%E -2.94%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 18:30
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.27%E -2.94%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 18:29
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.71%E -3.45%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 18:34
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.71%E -3.45%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 18:29
TAB1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.60%E -3.43%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.71%E -3.45%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 18:29
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.71%E -3.45%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 18:29
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.71%E -3.45%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 18:31
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.71%E -3.45%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 18:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.71%E -3.45%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 18:35
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.59%E -4.53%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 18:35
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.59%E -4.53%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 18:35
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.59%E -4.53%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 18:34
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.59%E -4.53%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 18:30
PMU (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -8.87%E -6.93%K -31.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.91%EV -13.59%E -4.53%K -6.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-22 18:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-04-22 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-04-22 18:35
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%2.1%2026-04-22 18:35
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%2.2%2026-04-22 18:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%2.4%2026-04-22 18:35
Novig1.35I 74.07%NM 71.64%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.36%3.4%2026-04-22 18:35