A Escola das Odds

Alejandro Tabilo v Valentin Royer

Início: 2026-04-22 18:40 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Alejandro Tabilo (Local)

Previsão 71.20%1.40odd justa
EV -2.46%
Vantagem -1.80%
Kelly -6.66%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.37

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.81%71.22%71.35%73.07%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.261.321.331.3779.37%75.52%75.19%72.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Valentin Royer (Visitante)

Previsão 28.80%3.47odd justa
EV +0.816%
Vantagem +0.233%
Kelly +0.327%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.93%28.78%28.65%31.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.253.253.5033.33%30.72%30.77%28.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
SportsBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.73%E -5.14%K -21.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +0.816%E +0.233%K +0.327%G +0.003%4.9%2026-04-22 18:30
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.73%E -5.14%K -21.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +0.816%E +0.233%K +0.327%G +0.003%4.9%2026-04-22 18:35
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.816%E +0.233%K +0.327%G +0.003%5.5%2026-04-22 18:30
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.816%E +0.233%K +0.327%G +0.003%5.5%2026-04-22 18:35
Winamax (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.816%E +0.233%K +0.327%G +0.003%5.5%2026-04-22 18:35
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -8.16%E -6.32%K -28.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +0.816%E +0.233%K +0.327%G +0.003%6.1%2026-04-22 18:35
1xBet1.35I 74.07%NM 71.82%EV -3.89%E -2.88%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.18%EV -0.912%E -0.265%K -0.374%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-22 18:30
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.58%E -7.54%K -35.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -2.06%E -0.607%K -0.860%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 18:30
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.89%E -2.88%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.50%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-22 18:35
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.50%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 18:30
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.50%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 18:30
Casumo1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.50%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 18:30
Bally Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.50%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 18:30
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.50%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 18:30
Fanatics1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.50%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 18:31
Pinnacle1.37I 72.99%NM 70.91%EV -2.46%E -1.80%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.09%EV -3.79%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-22 18:30
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.94%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 18:30
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.94%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 18:35
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.94%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 18:35
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.94%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 18:30
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.94%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 18:35
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.73%E -5.14%K -21.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.94%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 18:30
Fliff1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -9.58%E -7.54%K -35.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -4.94%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 18:35
GTbets1.35I 74.07%NM 70.91%EV -3.89%E -2.88%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.09%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 18:30
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.60%E -3.43%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -6.10%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 18:30
LowVig.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 18:30
BetOnline.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 18:30
BetUS1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.89%E -2.88%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 18:27
Bet Right1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.60%E -3.43%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 18:30
Unibet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.60%E -3.43%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 18:35
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.60%E -3.43%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 18:35
Svenska Spel1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.60%E -3.43%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 18:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 18:35
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 18:35
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 18:31
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 18:35
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 18:35
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 18:35
Betclic (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -8.87%E -6.93%K -31.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -6.38%E -1.96%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 18:34
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.83%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 18:30
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.83%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 18:35
Winamax (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 71.75%EV -10.29%E -8.17%K -39.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -7.83%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-22 18:35
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.60%E -3.43%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -9.27%E -2.94%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.27%E -2.94%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 18:30
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.27%E -2.94%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 18:29
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.71%E -3.45%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 18:34
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.71%E -3.45%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 18:29
TAB1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.60%E -3.43%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.71%E -3.45%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 18:29
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.71%E -3.45%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 18:29
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.71%E -3.45%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 18:31
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.71%E -3.45%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 18:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.45%E -5.73%K -24.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.71%E -3.45%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 18:35
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.59%E -4.53%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 18:35
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.59%E -4.53%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 18:35
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.59%E -4.53%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 18:34
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.59%E -4.53%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 18:30
PMU (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -8.87%E -6.93%K -31.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.91%EV -13.59%E -4.53%K -6.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-22 18:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-04-22 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-04-22 18:35
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%2.1%2026-04-22 18:35
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%2.2%2026-04-22 18:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%2.4%2026-04-22 18:35
Novig1.35I 74.07%NM 71.64%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.36%3.4%2026-04-22 18:35