Language:English
Ugo Humbert v Jiri Lehecka
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ugo Humbert (Local)
Prediction 40.17%2.49fair odd
EV +0.413%
Edge +0.165%
Kelly +0.275%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.42%40.11%40.15%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.372.352.5044.44%42.17%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jiri Lehecka (Visit)
Prediction 59.83%1.67fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -0.771%
Kelly -1.96%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%59.89%59.85%61.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.571.571.6567.11%63.56%63.69%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ugo Humbert (Local): 40.17%; Jiri Lehecka (Visit): 59.83%. For Ugo Humbert (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.49. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.413%.
Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +0.413%E +0.165%K +0.275%G +0.001% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.66%E -4.27%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-03 02:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -0.390%E -0.157%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.68%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 02:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -0.390%E -0.157%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.68%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 02:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -0.390%E -0.157%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.68%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 02:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -0.390%E -0.157%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.68%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 02:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -0.390%E -0.157%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.68%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 02:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -0.390%E -0.157%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.68%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 02:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -0.390%E -0.157%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.68%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 02:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -0.390%E -0.157%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.68%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 02:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -0.390%E -0.157%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.68%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 02:26 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -0.390%E -0.157%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.68%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 02:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -0.390%E -0.157%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.68%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 02:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -0.390%E -0.157%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.68%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 02:26 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -1.60%E -0.651%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -7.85%E -5.10%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 06:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -2.80%E -1.16%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -6.06%E -3.86%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 06:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.60%E -1.50%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.27%E -0.771%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-10-03 08:51 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.60%E -1.50%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.07%E -1.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-03 08:56 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.60%E -1.50%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.07%E -1.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-03 08:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.60%E -1.50%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.86%E -3.06%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-03 02:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.60%E -1.50%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.86%E -3.06%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-03 09:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -4.01%E -1.68%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -6.06%E -3.86%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 09:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -4.01%E -1.68%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.97%EV -8.45%E -5.52%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-03 06:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -4.41%E -1.85%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.86%E -3.06%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 07:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.41%E -1.85%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.46%E -3.46%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 04:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.81%E -2.03%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.86%E -3.06%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 08:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.61%E -2.39%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.07%E -1.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-03 05:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.61%E -2.39%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.46%E -3.46%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 08:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.61%E -2.39%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.46%E -3.46%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 04:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.61%E -2.39%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.46%E -3.46%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 04:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.61%E -2.39%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.46%E -3.46%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 08:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.61%E -2.39%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.06%E -3.86%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 09:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.61%E -2.39%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.06%E -3.86%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 09:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.61%E -2.39%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.06%E -3.86%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 23:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.61%E -2.39%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.26%E -4.68%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 02:11 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.61%E -2.39%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.26%E -4.68%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 07:41 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.61%E -2.39%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.05%E -5.95%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-03 02:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -5.61%E -2.39%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -10.85%E -7.28%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-03 02:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -6.01%E -2.57%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.46%E -3.46%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 08:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.62%E -3.31%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.07%E -1.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 23:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.62%E -3.31%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.07%E -1.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 04:41 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.62%E -3.31%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.67%E -2.28%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-02 23:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.62%E -3.31%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.67%E -2.28%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-02 23:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.62%E -3.31%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.67%E -2.28%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-02 23:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.62%E -3.31%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.26%E -2.67%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 09:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.62%E -3.31%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.46%E -3.46%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 05:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.62%E -3.31%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.46%E -3.46%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 08:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.62%E -3.31%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.46%E -3.46%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-02 23:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.62%E -3.31%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.46%E -3.46%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-02 23:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.62%E -3.31%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.26%E -4.68%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-02 23:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.62%E -3.31%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.26%E -4.68%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-02 23:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.63%E -4.28%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.07%E -1.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 23:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.63%E -4.28%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.06%E -3.86%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-02 23:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.63%E -4.28%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.06%E -3.86%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-03 04:41 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.63%E -4.28%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.06%E -3.86%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-03 04:38 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.63%E -4.28%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.06%E -3.86%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-03 00:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43% | 0.3% | 2026-10-03 09:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43% | 0.3% | 2026-10-03 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43% | 0.3% | 2026-10-03 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 0.3% | 2026-10-03 09:00 |