Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ugo Humbert v Jiri Lehecka

2026-10-03 02:00 UTC — ATP Japan Open

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ugo Humbert (Local)

Prediction 36.82%2.72fair odd
EV +0.895%
Edge +0.327%
Kelly +0.514%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 2.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.25%36.80%36.86%38.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.582.572.7442.55%38.72%38.91%36.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jiri Lehecka (Visit)

Prediction 63.18%1.58fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -3.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.71%63.20%63.14%64.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.481.481.5570.92%67.38%67.57%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Ugo Humbert (Local): 36.82%; Jiri Lehecka (Visit): 63.18%. For Ugo Humbert (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.72. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.74, producing a positive expected value of +0.895%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV +0.895%E +0.327%K +0.514%G +0.005%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-01 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV +0.895%E +0.327%K +0.514%G +0.005%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-01 13:50
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -0.578%E -0.214%K -0.340%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-01 13:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.578%E -0.214%K -0.340%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.50%E -4.39%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-01 12:10
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.578%E -0.214%K -0.340%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.13%E -4.85%K -15.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 12:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.578%E -0.214%K -0.340%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.13%E -4.85%K -15.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 12:05
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.578%E -0.214%K -0.340%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.13%E -4.85%K -15.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 12:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.578%E -0.214%K -0.340%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.13%E -4.85%K -15.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 12:05
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.578%E -0.214%K -0.340%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.13%E -4.85%K -15.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 12:05
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.578%E -0.214%K -0.340%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.13%E -4.85%K -15.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 12:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.578%E -0.214%K -0.340%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.13%E -4.85%K -15.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 12:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.578%E -0.214%K -0.340%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.13%E -4.85%K -15.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 12:05
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.578%E -0.214%K -0.340%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.13%E -4.85%K -15.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 12:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.578%E -0.214%K -0.340%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.13%E -4.85%K -15.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 12:05
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.578%E -0.214%K -0.340%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.13%E -4.85%K -15.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 12:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.578%E -0.214%K -0.340%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.13%E -4.85%K -15.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 12:05
GTbets🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV -1.68%E -0.630%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -3.34%E -2.18%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-01 12:45
FanDuel🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -2.05%E -0.771%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -5.87%E -3.94%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-01 13:45
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -3.16%E -1.20%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -9.03%E -6.27%K -20.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-01 11:40
Pinnacle🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%EV -3.52%E -1.34%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%EV -2.08%E -1.34%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.7%2026-10-01 14:20
SportsBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -3.52%E -1.34%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -8.39%E -5.79%K -18.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-01 14:20
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.52%E -1.34%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.03%E -6.27%K -20.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-01 11:15
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.26%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.60%E -3.05%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-01 13:49
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.26%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 14:09
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.26%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 14:10
Bet Right🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -5.00%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.60%E -3.05%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 14:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.86%EV -5.36%E -2.09%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.14%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 14:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.10%E -2.39%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 14:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.10%E -2.39%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 14:20
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.10%E -2.39%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.87%E -3.94%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-01 14:20
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.10%E -2.39%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.87%E -3.94%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-01 14:15
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.10%E -2.39%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.50%E -4.39%K -13.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-01 13:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.10%E -2.39%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.39%E -5.79%K -18.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-01 13:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -6.10%E -2.39%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -10.92%E -7.74%K -26.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-01 12:05
BetMGM🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -6.47%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-01 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 36.91%EV -6.84%E -2.70%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -6.50%E -4.39%K -13.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-01 14:15
DraftKings🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -7.21%E -2.86%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -3.34%E -2.18%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 13:44
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.34%E -2.18%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:10
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.34%E -2.18%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:10
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.34%E -2.18%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.34%E -2.18%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.34%E -2.18%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:10
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-01 13:44
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.50%E -4.39%K -13.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-01 14:19
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.50%E -4.39%K -13.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-01 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.50%E -4.39%K -13.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-01 14:25
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.39%E -5.79%K -18.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-01 14:12
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.39%E -5.79%K -18.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-01 14:10
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -9.78%E -3.99%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.97%E -2.61%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-01 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -9.78%E -3.99%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.97%E -2.61%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-01 14:24
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.78%E -3.99%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.13%E -4.85%K -15.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-01 14:20
ReBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -10.52%E -4.33%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.47%EV -7.76%E -5.32%K -16.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-01 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.37%EV -10.52%E -4.33%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.63%EV -8.39%E -5.79%K -18.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-01 14:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -11.62%E -4.84%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.03%E -6.27%K -20.51%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-01 14:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -13.47%E -5.73%K -9.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -9.03%E -6.27%K -20.51%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-01 14:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%3.5%2026-10-01 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 38.73%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%6.7%2026-10-01 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 38.73%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%6.7%2026-10-01 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 38.73%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%6.7%2026-10-01 14:15