Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ugo Humbert v Jiri Lehecka

2026-10-03 02:00 UTC — ATP Japan Open

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ugo Humbert (Local)

Prévision 36.80%2.72cote équitable
EV +0.819%
Avantage +0.299%
Kelly +0.471%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 2.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.25%36.77%36.86%38.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.352.592.572.7442.55%38.68%38.91%36.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Jiri Lehecka (Visiteur)

Prévision 63.20%1.58cote équitable
EV -2.03%
Avantage -1.31%
Kelly -3.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.71%63.23%63.14%64.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.411.481.481.5570.92%67.34%67.57%64.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Ugo Humbert (Local) : 36.80% ; Jiri Lehecka (Visiteur) : 63.20%. Pour Ugo Humbert (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.72. 2 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.74, pour une espérance positive de +0.819%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV +0.819%E +0.299%K +0.471%G +0.004%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-01 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV +0.819%E +0.299%K +0.471%G +0.004%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-01 13:50
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -0.653%E -0.242%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-01 13:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.653%E -0.242%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.46%E -4.36%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-01 12:10
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.653%E -0.242%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.09%E -4.82%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 12:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.653%E -0.242%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.09%E -4.82%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 12:05
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.653%E -0.242%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.09%E -4.82%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 12:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.653%E -0.242%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.09%E -4.82%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 12:05
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.653%E -0.242%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.09%E -4.82%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 12:05
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.653%E -0.242%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.09%E -4.82%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 12:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.653%E -0.242%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.09%E -4.82%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 12:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.653%E -0.242%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.09%E -4.82%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 12:05
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.653%E -0.242%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.09%E -4.82%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 12:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.653%E -0.242%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.09%E -4.82%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 12:05
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.653%E -0.242%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.09%E -4.82%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 12:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.653%E -0.242%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.09%E -4.82%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 12:05
GTbets🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV -1.76%E -0.658%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -3.30%E -2.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-01 12:45
FanDuel🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -2.12%E -0.799%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-01 13:45
DraftKings🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.23%E -1.23%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-01 14:40
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -3.23%E -1.23%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.99%E -6.24%K -20.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-01 11:40
Pinnacle🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%EV -3.60%E -1.37%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%EV -2.03%E -1.31%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.7%2026-10-01 14:20
SportsBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -3.60%E -1.37%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -8.35%E -5.76%K -18.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-01 14:20
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.60%E -1.37%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.99%E -6.24%K -20.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-01 11:15
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.33%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.56%E -3.02%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-01 13:49
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.33%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 14:09
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.33%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 14:10
Bet Right🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -5.07%E -1.96%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.56%E -3.02%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 14:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.86%EV -5.44%E -2.12%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.14%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 14:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.17%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 14:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.17%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 14:20
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.17%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-01 14:20
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.17%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-01 14:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.17%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-01 15:04
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.17%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.46%E -4.36%K -13.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-01 13:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.17%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.35%E -5.76%K -18.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-01 13:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -6.17%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -10.88%E -7.72%K -26.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-01 12:05
BetMGM🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -6.54%E -2.57%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-01 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 36.91%EV -6.91%E -2.73%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -6.46%E -4.36%K -13.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-01 14:15
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.01%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.30%E -2.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:10
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.01%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.30%E -2.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:10
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.01%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.30%E -2.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.01%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.30%E -2.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.01%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.30%E -2.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:10
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.01%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-01 13:44
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.01%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.46%E -4.36%K -13.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-01 14:19
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.01%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.46%E -4.36%K -13.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-01 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.01%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.46%E -4.36%K -13.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-01 14:25
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.01%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.35%E -5.76%K -18.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-01 14:12
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.01%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.35%E -5.76%K -18.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-01 14:10
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -9.85%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.93%E -2.58%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-01 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -9.85%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.93%E -2.58%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-01 14:24
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.85%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.09%E -4.82%K -15.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-01 14:20
ReBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -10.59%E -4.36%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.47%EV -7.72%E -5.29%K -16.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-01 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -11.69%E -4.87%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.99%E -6.24%K -20.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-01 14:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -13.53%E -5.76%K -10.02%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -8.99%E -6.24%K -20.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-01 14:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%3.5%2026-10-01 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 38.73%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%6.7%2026-10-01 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 38.73%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%6.7%2026-10-01 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 38.73%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%6.7%2026-10-01 14:15