Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Ugo Humbert v Jiri Lehecka

2026-10-03 02:00 UTC — ATP Japan Open

Zwycięzca spotkania

55 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Ugo Humbert (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 36.80%2.72kurs godziwy
EV +0.819%
Przewaga +0.299%
Kelly +0.471%
Wzrost +0.004%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.74

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
35.25%36.77%36.86%38.29%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.352.592.572.7442.55%38.68%38.91%36.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Jiri Lehecka (Goście)

Prognoza 63.20%1.58kurs godziwy
EV -2.03%
Przewaga -1.31%
Kelly -3.70%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.55

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
61.71%63.23%63.14%64.75%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.411.481.481.5570.92%67.34%67.57%64.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Dla rynku Zwycięzca spotkania model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacuje prawdopodobieństwa następująco: Ugo Humbert (Gospodarze): 36.80%; Jiri Lehecka (Goście): 63.20%. Dla wyniku Ugo Humbert (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiada uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.72. 2 bukmacherów oferuje kursy powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy dostępny kurs wynosi 2.74, co daje dodatnią wartość oczekiwaną +0.819%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (55 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
BetOnline.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV +0.819%E +0.299%K +0.471%G +0.004%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-01 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV +0.819%E +0.299%K +0.471%G +0.004%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-01 13:50
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -0.653%E -0.242%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-01 13:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.653%E -0.242%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.46%E -4.36%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-01 12:10
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.653%E -0.242%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.09%E -4.82%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 12:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.653%E -0.242%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.09%E -4.82%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 12:05
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.653%E -0.242%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.09%E -4.82%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 12:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.653%E -0.242%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.09%E -4.82%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 12:05
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.653%E -0.242%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.09%E -4.82%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 12:05
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.653%E -0.242%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.09%E -4.82%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 12:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.653%E -0.242%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.09%E -4.82%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 12:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.653%E -0.242%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.09%E -4.82%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 12:05
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.653%E -0.242%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.09%E -4.82%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 12:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.653%E -0.242%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.09%E -4.82%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 12:05
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.653%E -0.242%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.09%E -4.82%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 12:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.653%E -0.242%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.09%E -4.82%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 12:05
GTbets🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV -1.76%E -0.658%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -3.30%E -2.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-01 12:45
FanDuel🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -2.12%E -0.799%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-01 13:45
DraftKings🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.23%E -1.23%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-01 14:40
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -3.23%E -1.23%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.99%E -6.24%K -20.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-01 11:40
Pinnacle🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%EV -3.60%E -1.37%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%EV -2.03%E -1.31%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.7%2026-10-01 14:20
SportsBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -3.60%E -1.37%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -8.35%E -5.76%K -18.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-01 14:20
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.60%E -1.37%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.99%E -6.24%K -20.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-01 11:15
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.33%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.56%E -3.02%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-01 13:49
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.33%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 14:09
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.33%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 14:10
Bet Right🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -5.07%E -1.96%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.56%E -3.02%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 14:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.86%EV -5.44%E -2.12%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.14%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 14:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.17%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 14:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.17%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 14:20
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.17%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-01 14:20
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.17%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-01 14:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.17%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-01 15:04
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.17%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.46%E -4.36%K -13.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-01 13:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.17%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.35%E -5.76%K -18.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-01 13:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -6.17%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -10.88%E -7.72%K -26.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-01 12:05
BetMGM🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -6.54%E -2.57%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-01 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 36.91%EV -6.91%E -2.73%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -6.46%E -4.36%K -13.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-01 14:15
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.01%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.30%E -2.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:10
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.01%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.30%E -2.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:10
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.01%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.30%E -2.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.01%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.30%E -2.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.01%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.30%E -2.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:10
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.01%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-01 13:44
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.01%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.46%E -4.36%K -13.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-01 14:19
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.01%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.46%E -4.36%K -13.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-01 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.01%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.46%E -4.36%K -13.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-01 14:25
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.01%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.35%E -5.76%K -18.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-01 14:12
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.01%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.35%E -5.76%K -18.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-01 14:10
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -9.85%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.93%E -2.58%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-01 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -9.85%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.93%E -2.58%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-01 14:24
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.85%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.09%E -4.82%K -15.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-01 14:20
ReBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -10.59%E -4.36%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.47%EV -7.72%E -5.29%K -16.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-01 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -11.69%E -4.87%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.99%E -6.24%K -20.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-01 14:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -13.53%E -5.76%K -10.02%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -8.99%E -6.24%K -20.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-01 14:15
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (4)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook◎2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%3.5%2026-10-01 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 38.73%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%6.7%2026-10-01 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 38.73%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%6.7%2026-10-01 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 38.73%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%6.7%2026-10-01 14:15