Langue:Français
Matteo Berrettini v Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Résultat du match
Matteo Berrettini (Local)
Prévision 58.89%1.70cote équitable
EV -2.83%
Avantage -1.72%
Kelly -4.36%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.27%58.99%58.89%62.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.511.591.601.6566.23%63.00%62.50%60.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Visiteur)
Prévision 41.11%2.43cote équitable
EV +2.78%
Avantage +1.11%
Kelly +1.85%
Croissance +0.051%
avec la cote maximale 2.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.66%41.01%41.11%41.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.152.312.302.5046.51%43.22%43.48%40.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Matteo Berrettini (Local) : 58.89% ; Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Visiteur) : 41.11%. Pour Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.43. 14 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.50, pour une espérance positive de +2.78%.
Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -9.90%E -6.47%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +2.78%E +1.11%K +1.85%G +0.051% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 14:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -10.49%E -6.90%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV +2.78%E +1.11%K +1.85%G +0.051% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 14:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -10.49%E -6.90%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV +2.78%E +1.11%K +1.85%G +0.051% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 14:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -11.08%E -7.34%K -21.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV +2.78%E +1.11%K +1.85%G +0.051% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 14:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -11.08%E -7.34%K -21.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV +2.78%E +1.11%K +1.85%G +0.051% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 14:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -11.08%E -7.34%K -21.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV +2.78%E +1.11%K +1.85%G +0.051% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 14:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -11.08%E -7.34%K -21.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV +2.78%E +1.11%K +1.85%G +0.051% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 14:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -11.08%E -7.34%K -21.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV +2.78%E +1.11%K +1.85%G +0.051% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 14:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -11.08%E -7.34%K -21.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV +2.78%E +1.11%K +1.85%G +0.051% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 14:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -11.08%E -7.34%K -21.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV +2.78%E +1.11%K +1.85%G +0.051% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 14:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -11.08%E -7.34%K -21.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV +2.78%E +1.11%K +1.85%G +0.051% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 14:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -11.08%E -7.34%K -21.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV +2.78%E +1.11%K +1.85%G +0.051% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 14:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -11.08%E -7.34%K -21.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV +2.78%E +1.11%K +1.85%G +0.051% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 14:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -5.19%E -3.22%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +0.723%E +0.295%K +0.499%G +0.004% | 2.9% | 2026-10-01 20:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.19%E -3.22%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.33%E -0.555%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-01 19:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -13.43%E -9.14%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -1.33%E -0.555%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-01 20:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.78%E -3.61%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -2.57%E -1.08%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-01 19:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.90%EV -6.96%E -4.40%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.10%EV -2.98%E -1.26%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 18:31 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.83%E -1.72%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-01 18:41 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.83%E -1.72%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.19%E -3.22%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-01 17:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.55%E -4.81%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.39%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 18:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.60%E -2.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.80%E -1.62%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-01 19:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.78%E -3.61%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -3.80%E -1.62%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-01 20:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.19%E -3.22%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.21%E -1.81%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-01 20:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.60%E -2.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.62%E -1.99%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-01 15:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.60%E -2.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.62%E -1.99%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-01 20:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.60%E -2.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.44%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-01 17:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.19%E -3.22%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.44%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 17:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.19%E -3.22%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.44%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 17:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.19%E -3.22%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.44%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 17:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.78%E -3.61%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.44%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-01 18:58 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.78%E -3.61%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.44%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-01 20:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.37%E -4.00%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.44%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-01 20:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.37%E -4.00%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.44%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-01 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.96%E -4.40%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.44%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-01 18:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.96%E -4.40%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.44%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-01 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.72%E -5.63%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.44%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-01 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.72%E -5.63%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.44%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-01 18:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.17%EV -6.96%E -4.40%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.83%EV -5.85%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-01 18:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.19%E -3.22%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.27%E -2.75%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-01 18:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.19%E -3.22%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.27%E -2.75%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-01 18:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.19%E -3.22%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.27%E -2.75%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-01 18:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.19%E -3.22%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.50%E -3.33%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-01 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.78%E -3.61%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.50%E -3.33%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-01 18:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.55%E -4.81%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.50%E -3.33%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-01 18:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.55%E -4.81%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.50%E -3.33%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-01 15:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.55%E -4.81%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.50%E -3.33%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-01 18:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.55%E -4.81%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.50%E -3.33%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-01 15:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.55%E -4.81%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.50%E -3.33%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-01 17:47 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.55%E -4.81%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.50%E -3.33%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-01 17:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.29%EV -8.13%E -5.21%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -10.38%E -4.76%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-01 18:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%EV -9.31%E -6.05%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -11.61%E -5.40%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-01 18:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%EV -9.31%E -6.05%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -11.61%E -5.40%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-01 18:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 0.6% | 2026-10-01 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 0.6% | 2026-10-01 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56% | 4.9% | 2026-10-01 20:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.04% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.96% | 10.0% | 2026-10-01 20:25 |