Idioma:Español
Matteo Berrettini v Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Resultado del partido
Matteo Berrettini (Local)
Predicción 58.92%1.70momio equitativo
EV -2.78%
Ventaja -1.69%
Kelly -4.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.27%59.19%58.90%62.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.471.571.581.6568.03%63.63%63.29%60.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Visitante)
Predicción 41.08%2.43momio equitativo
EV +2.70%
Ventaja +1.08%
Kelly +1.80%
Crecimiento +0.049%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.66%40.81%41.10%41.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.152.352.312.5046.51%42.61%43.29%40.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Matteo Berrettini (Local): 58.92%; Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Visitante): 41.08%. Para Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.43. 14 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.50, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +2.70%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -9.85%E -6.44%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +2.70%E +1.08%K +1.80%G +0.049% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 14:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -10.44%E -6.87%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV +2.70%E +1.08%K +1.80%G +0.049% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 14:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -10.44%E -6.87%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV +2.70%E +1.08%K +1.80%G +0.049% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 14:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -11.03%E -7.31%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV +2.70%E +1.08%K +1.80%G +0.049% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 14:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -11.03%E -7.31%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV +2.70%E +1.08%K +1.80%G +0.049% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 14:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -11.03%E -7.31%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV +2.70%E +1.08%K +1.80%G +0.049% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 14:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -11.03%E -7.31%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV +2.70%E +1.08%K +1.80%G +0.049% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 14:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -11.03%E -7.31%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV +2.70%E +1.08%K +1.80%G +0.049% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 14:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -11.03%E -7.31%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV +2.70%E +1.08%K +1.80%G +0.049% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 14:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -11.03%E -7.31%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV +2.70%E +1.08%K +1.80%G +0.049% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 14:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -11.03%E -7.31%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV +2.70%E +1.08%K +1.80%G +0.049% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 14:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -11.03%E -7.31%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV +2.70%E +1.08%K +1.80%G +0.049% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 14:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -11.03%E -7.31%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV +2.70%E +1.08%K +1.80%G +0.049% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 14:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -5.14%E -3.19%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +0.647%E +0.264%K +0.446%G +0.003% | 2.9% | 2026-10-01 20:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.14%E -3.19%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.41%E -0.586%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-01 19:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -13.39%E -9.11%K -28.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -1.41%E -0.586%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-01 20:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.73%E -3.58%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -2.64%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-01 19:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.90%EV -6.91%E -4.37%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.10%EV -3.05%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 18:31 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.78%E -1.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.46%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-01 18:41 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.78%E -1.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.46%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.14%E -3.19%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.46%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-01 17:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.73%E -3.58%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.46%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 20:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.50%E -4.77%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.46%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 18:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.87%E -1.65%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-01 19:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.73%E -3.58%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -3.87%E -1.65%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-01 20:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.69%E -2.02%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-01 15:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.69%E -2.02%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-01 20:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-01 17:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.14%E -3.19%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 17:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.14%E -3.19%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 17:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.14%E -3.19%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 17:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.73%E -3.58%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-01 18:58 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.73%E -3.58%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-01 20:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.32%E -3.97%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-01 20:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.32%E -3.97%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-01 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.91%E -4.37%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-01 18:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.91%E -4.37%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-01 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.67%E -5.60%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-01 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.67%E -5.60%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-01 18:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.17%EV -6.91%E -4.37%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.83%EV -5.93%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-01 18:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.14%E -3.19%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.34%E -2.78%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-01 18:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.14%E -3.19%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.34%E -2.78%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-01 18:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.14%E -3.19%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.34%E -2.78%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-01 18:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.14%E -3.19%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-01 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.73%E -3.58%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-01 18:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.50%E -4.77%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-01 18:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.50%E -4.77%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-01 15:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.50%E -4.77%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-01 18:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.50%E -4.77%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-01 15:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.50%E -4.77%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-01 17:47 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.50%E -4.77%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-01 17:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.29%EV -8.09%E -5.18%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -10.45%E -4.79%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-01 18:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%EV -9.26%E -6.02%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -11.68%E -5.43%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-01 18:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%EV -9.26%E -6.02%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -11.68%E -5.43%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-01 18:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 0.6% | 2026-10-01 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 0.6% | 2026-10-01 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56% | 4.9% | 2026-10-01 20:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.04% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.96% | 10.0% | 2026-10-01 20:25 |