預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Kei Nishikori v Frances Tiafoe

2026-09-30 02:00 UTC — ATP Japan Open

獨贏

39 家博彩公司 (10 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Kei Nishikori (主隊)

預測 20.73%4.82公平賠率
EV +3.64%
優勢 +0.729%
Kelly +0.911%
成長率 +0.033%

假設最高賠率為 5.00

博彩公司預測分布
19.35%20.77%21.05%22.63%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.004.594.555.0025.00%21.80%21.98%20.00%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Frances Tiafoe (客隊)

預測 79.27%1.26公平賠率
EV -4.87%
優勢 -4.06%
Kelly -24.37%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.20

博彩公司預測分布
77.37%79.23%78.95%80.65%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.141.191.191.2087.72%84.18%84.03%83.33%最小值平均值中位數最大值

對於獨贏,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)估計各選項的機率為:Kei Nishikori (主隊):20.73%;Frances Tiafoe (客隊):79.27%。 對於「Kei Nishikori (主隊)」,該估計相當於4.82的公平十進位賠率。 有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的賠率;目前最佳賠率為5.00,因此產生+3.64%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (39 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
Pinnacle🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +3.64%E +0.729%K +0.911%G +0.033%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.37%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-29 08:00
BoyleSports🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-29 08:04
Unibet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.67%E -4.76%K -29.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-29 08:00
Grosvenor🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.67%E -4.76%K -29.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-29 08:00
Casumo🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.67%E -4.76%K -29.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-29 08:00
ATG (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.67%E -4.76%K -29.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-29 08:00
betPARX🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.67%E -4.76%K -29.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-29 07:59
Unibet (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.67%E -4.76%K -29.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-29 08:00
Unibet (NL)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.67%E -4.76%K -29.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-29 08:00
TABtouch🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.67%E -4.76%K -29.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-29 08:00
Svenska Spel🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.67%E -4.76%K -29.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-29 08:00
BetUS🎯4.76I 21.01%NM 20.00%EV -1.33%E -0.280%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.00%EV -5.67%E -4.76%K -29.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-29 08:05
Bovada🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -1.54%E -0.324%K -0.410%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-29 08:03
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.54%E -0.324%K -0.410%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.67%E -4.76%K -29.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-29 08:00
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -1.54%E -0.324%K -0.410%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.46%E -5.47%K -35.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-29 08:05
FanDuel🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -2.57%E -0.548%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.46%E -5.47%K -35.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-29 07:49
Bet Right🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.65%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-29 08:00
SportsBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -4.65%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.25%E -6.20%K -42.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-29 07:50
TAB🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -4.65%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -8.05%E -6.94%K -50.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-29 08:00
Betr (AU)🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -5.68%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -5.67%E -4.76%K -29.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-29 08:05
Marathon Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-29 08:01
William Hill🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-29 07:50
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-29 07:50
Unibet (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-29 08:00
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-29 07:50
Winamax (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-29 08:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-29 07:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-29 07:55
Coral🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.46%E -5.47%K -35.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-29 08:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.46%E -5.47%K -35.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-29 08:05
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.25%E -6.20%K -42.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-29 07:49
PMU (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -9.63%E -8.45%K -68.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-29 08:00
theScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.79%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.46%E -5.47%K -35.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-29 08:00
LeoVegas🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.79%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.46%E -5.47%K -35.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-29 08:05
betano_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -10.24%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -6.46%E -5.47%K -35.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-29 08:03
Bet Victor🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -10.24%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -6.46%E -5.47%K -35.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-29 08:03
Neds🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-29 08:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-29 08:04
Winamax (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -17.08%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -7.25%E -6.20%K -42.66%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-29 08:00
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%2.0%2026-09-29 07:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%2.0%2026-09-29 07:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%2.0%2026-09-29 07:50
Matchbook◎4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%2.8%2026-09-29 07:55