Idioma:Español
Kei Nishikori v Frances Tiafoe
Resultado del partido
Kei Nishikori (Local)
Predicción 20.73%4.82momio equitativo
EV +3.64%
Ventaja +0.729%
Kelly +0.911%
Crecimiento +0.033%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.35%20.77%21.05%22.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.594.555.0025.00%21.80%21.98%20.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Frances Tiafoe (Visitante)
Predicción 79.27%1.26momio equitativo
EV -4.87%
Ventaja -4.06%
Kelly -24.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
77.37%79.23%78.95%80.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.141.191.191.2087.72%84.18%84.03%83.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Kei Nishikori (Local): 20.73%; Frances Tiafoe (Visitante): 79.27%. Para Kei Nishikori (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.82. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 5.00, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +3.64%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +3.64%E +0.729%K +0.911%G +0.033% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-29 08:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.67%E -4.76%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.67%E -4.76%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.67%E -4.76%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.67%E -4.76%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.67%E -4.76%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-29 07:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.67%E -4.76%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.67%E -4.76%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.67%E -4.76%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.67%E -4.76%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.00%EV -1.33%E -0.280%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.00%EV -5.67%E -4.76%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-29 08:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -1.54%E -0.324%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-29 08:03 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.54%E -0.324%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.67%E -4.76%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -1.54%E -0.324%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.46%E -5.47%K -35.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 08:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -2.57%E -0.548%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.46%E -5.47%K -35.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 07:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.65%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -4.65%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.25%E -6.20%K -42.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-29 07:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -4.65%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -8.05%E -6.94%K -50.28%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -5.68%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -5.67%E -4.76%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 08:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 08:01 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 07:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 07:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 07:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 07:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 07:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.46%E -5.47%K -35.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-29 08:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.46%E -5.47%K -35.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-29 08:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.25%E -6.20%K -42.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-29 07:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -9.63%E -8.45%K -68.79%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.79%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.46%E -5.47%K -35.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.79%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.46%E -5.47%K -35.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-29 08:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -10.24%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -6.46%E -5.47%K -35.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-29 08:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -10.24%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -6.46%E -5.47%K -35.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-29 08:03 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-29 08:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-29 08:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -17.08%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -7.25%E -6.20%K -42.66%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39% | 2.0% | 2026-09-29 07:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39% | 2.0% | 2026-09-29 07:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39% | 2.0% | 2026-09-29 07:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73% | 2.8% | 2026-09-29 07:55 |