Langue:Français
Kei Nishikori v Frances Tiafoe
Résultat du match
Kei Nishikori (Local)
Prévision 20.73%4.82cote équitable
EV +3.64%
Avantage +0.729%
Kelly +0.911%
Croissance +0.033%
avec la cote maximale 5.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.35%20.77%21.05%22.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.594.555.0025.00%21.80%21.98%20.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Frances Tiafoe (Visiteur)
Prévision 79.27%1.26cote équitable
EV -4.87%
Avantage -4.06%
Kelly -24.37%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
77.37%79.23%78.95%80.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.141.191.191.2087.72%84.18%84.03%83.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Kei Nishikori (Local) : 20.73% ; Frances Tiafoe (Visiteur) : 79.27%. Pour Kei Nishikori (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.82. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 5.00, pour une espérance positive de +3.64%.
Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +3.64%E +0.729%K +0.911%G +0.033% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-29 08:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.67%E -4.76%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.67%E -4.76%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.67%E -4.76%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.67%E -4.76%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.67%E -4.76%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-29 07:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.67%E -4.76%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.67%E -4.76%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.67%E -4.76%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.67%E -4.76%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.00%EV -1.33%E -0.280%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.00%EV -5.67%E -4.76%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-29 08:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -1.54%E -0.324%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-29 08:03 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.54%E -0.324%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.67%E -4.76%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -1.54%E -0.324%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.46%E -5.47%K -35.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 08:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -2.57%E -0.548%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.46%E -5.47%K -35.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 07:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.65%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -4.65%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.25%E -6.20%K -42.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-29 07:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -4.65%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -8.05%E -6.94%K -50.28%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -5.68%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -5.67%E -4.76%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 08:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 08:01 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 07:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 07:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 07:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 07:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 07:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.46%E -5.47%K -35.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-29 08:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.46%E -5.47%K -35.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-29 08:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.25%E -6.20%K -42.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-29 07:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -9.63%E -8.45%K -68.79%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.79%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.46%E -5.47%K -35.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.79%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.46%E -5.47%K -35.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-29 08:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -10.24%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -6.46%E -5.47%K -35.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-29 08:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -10.24%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -6.46%E -5.47%K -35.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-29 08:03 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-29 08:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.87%E -4.06%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-29 08:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -17.08%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -7.25%E -6.20%K -42.66%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39% | 2.0% | 2026-09-29 07:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39% | 2.0% | 2026-09-29 07:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39% | 2.0% | 2026-09-29 07:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73% | 2.8% | 2026-09-29 07:55 |