Language:English
Zhizhen Zhang v Daniel Altmaier
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Zhizhen Zhang (Local)
Prediction 39.13%2.56fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -0.713%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.03%39.21%39.19%41.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.422.442.5144.44%41.31%40.98%39.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Daniel Altmaier (Visit)
Prediction 60.87%1.64fair odd
EV -0.169%
Edge -0.103%
Kelly -0.265%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.67%60.79%60.81%62.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.561.551.6468.03%64.23%64.52%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zhizhen Zhang (Local): 39.13%; Daniel Altmaier (Visit): 60.87%. For Daniel Altmaier (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.643. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.640, with an expected value of -0.169%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -1.79%E -0.713%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -6.26%E -4.06%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 04:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 05:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 05:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 04:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 05:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 05:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 05:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 05:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 05:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 05:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 05:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 05:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 05:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 05:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 05:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 05:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -10.52%E -7.15%K -22.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 04:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -3.35%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -2.60%E -1.63%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 08:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -3.35%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-06 05:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.35%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.65%E -3.64%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 08:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.35%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.65%E -3.64%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 04:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.35%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.65%E -3.64%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 04:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.35%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.65%E -3.64%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 04:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -3.35%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -6.26%E -4.06%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.14%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.26%E -4.06%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 04:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.14%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 04:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.14%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.47%E -4.92%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 05:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.14%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.47%E -4.92%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 05:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.14%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -8.08%E -5.35%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 05:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -4.53%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -6.26%E -4.06%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 04:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -4.92%E -2.02%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 08:48 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -5.31%E -2.19%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 07:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.31%E -2.19%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 07:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.39%E -0.856%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-06 07:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.39%E -0.856%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-06 07:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.60%E -1.63%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 08:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.21%E -2.02%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 07:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 07:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 07:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 08:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.65%E -3.64%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 07:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.69%E -5.79%K -17.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-06 08:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -6.48%E -2.71%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -0.169%E -0.103%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-06 07:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -6.88%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.21%E -2.02%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 07:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.88%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 07:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 08:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 08:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 07:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.26%E -4.06%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 07:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.39%E -0.856%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 07:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.00%E -1.24%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 07:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.00%E -1.24%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 07:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.00%E -1.24%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 07:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.21%E -2.02%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 13:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 07:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 07:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 07:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.65%E -3.64%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 07:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.65%E -3.64%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 07:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-06 07:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00% | 1.6% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| Novig◎ | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80% | 3.2% | 2026-05-06 08:45 |