مدرسة الاحتمالات

Zhizhen Zhang v Daniel Altmaier

البداية: 2026-05-06 09:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Zhizhen Zhang (المضيف)

التنبؤ 39.13%2.56السعر العادل
EV -1.79%
الأفضلية -0.713%
Kelly -1.19%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.51

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.03%39.21%39.19%41.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.252.422.442.5144.44%41.31%40.98%39.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Daniel Altmaier (الضيف)

التنبؤ 60.87%1.64السعر العادل
EV -0.169%
الأفضلية -0.103%
Kelly -0.265%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.64

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.67%60.79%60.81%62.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.471.561.551.6468.03%64.23%64.52%60.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -1.79%E -0.713%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -6.26%E -4.06%K -11.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 08:55
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 04:49
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 05:40
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 05:39
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 04:50
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 05:39
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 05:40
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 05:40
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 05:40
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 05:39
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 05:39
Bally Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 05:39
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 05:40
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 05:39
Hard Rock Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 05:39
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 05:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 05:40
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -2.18%E -0.872%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -10.52%E -7.15%K -22.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 04:50
Coolbet2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -3.35%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -2.60%E -1.63%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 08:40
GTbets2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -3.35%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-06 05:39
ReBet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.35%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.65%E -3.64%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 08:05
Unibet (UK)2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.35%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.65%E -3.64%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 04:50
NordicBet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.35%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.65%E -3.64%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 04:49
Betsson2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.35%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.65%E -3.64%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 04:49
Marathon Bet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -3.35%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -6.26%E -4.06%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 08:55
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.14%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.26%E -4.06%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 04:50
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.14%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 04:49
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.14%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.47%E -4.92%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 05:39
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.14%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.47%E -4.92%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 05:39
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.14%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -8.08%E -5.35%K -15.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 05:40
Codere (IT)2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -4.53%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -6.26%E -4.06%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 04:49
Betclic (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -4.92%E -2.02%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 08:48
FanDuel2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -5.31%E -2.19%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 07:30
SportsBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.31%E -2.19%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 07:30
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.39%E -0.856%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-06 07:30
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.39%E -0.856%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-06 07:30
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.60%E -1.63%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 08:15
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.21%E -2.02%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 07:34
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 07:30
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 07:29
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 08:45
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.65%E -3.64%K -10.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 07:45
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.69%E -5.79%K -17.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-06 08:49
Pinnacle2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -6.48%E -2.71%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -0.169%E -0.103%K -0.265%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-06 07:45
DraftKings2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -6.88%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.21%E -2.02%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 07:09
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.88%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 07:09
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 08:45
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 08:15
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 07:39
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.26%E -4.06%K -11.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 07:40
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.39%E -0.856%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 07:34
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.00%E -1.24%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 07:30
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.00%E -1.24%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 07:30
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.00%E -1.24%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 07:30
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.21%E -2.02%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 13:49
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 07:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 07:40
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 07:40
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.65%E -3.64%K -10.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 07:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.65%E -3.64%K -10.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 07:40
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-06 07:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-05-06 08:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-05-06 08:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-05-06 08:55
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-05-06 08:55
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00%1.6%2026-05-06 08:50
Novig2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%3.2%2026-05-06 08:45